Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction0.962.053.01safe0.00–1.931.20–2.911.19–4.84safer0.00–2.180.97–3.140.71–5.32
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.756.3810.13safe1.89–5.624.64–8.126.53–13.74safer1.40–6.104.17–8.595.57–14.69
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3615.9526.31safe6.43–14.2812.39–19.5118.82–33.79safer5.34–15.3811.43–20.4716.77–35.85
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8310.9117.74safe3.89–9.788.22–13.5912.12–23.36safer3.06–10.607.49–14.3210.55–24.93
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.604.637.22safe0.71–4.482.97–6.283.69–10.76safer0.17–5.022.48–6.772.65–11.79
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.965.779.73safe1.75–6.173.77–7.775.52–13.95safer1.17–6.753.24–8.314.41–15.05
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.5362.39safe30.74–44.3255.61–69.18safer29.07–45.9953.94–70.85
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction302507808safe234–369440–573675–942safer216–387423–591639–978
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction74.8484.02safe70.81–78.8779.70–88.35safer69.52–80.1778.39–89.66
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3512.6026.95safe11.51–17.199.65–15.5421.17–32.73safer10.76–17.948.91–16.2919.66–34.24
Offsides
48%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.563.55safe0.83–3.150.47–2.651.29–5.80safer0.52–3.450.18–2.940.70–6.39
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.034.35safe1.27–3.370.90–3.162.17–6.53safer1.00–3.630.61–3.451.61–7.08
Red cards
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction0.220.130.35safe0.06–0.380.00–0.310.00–0.69safer0.00–0.530.00–0.450.00–0.98
GK saves
65%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.536.55safe2.58–5.450.98–4.093.56–9.54safer2.19–5.840.55–4.512.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 2.05 1.20–2.91 0.97–3.14 | 3.01 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 17% 21% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.75 1.89–5.62 1.40–6.10 | 6.38 4.64–8.12 4.17–8.59 | 10.13 6.53–13.74 5.57–14.69 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 10.36 6.43–14.28 5.34–15.38 | 15.95 12.39–19.51 11.43–20.47 | 26.31 18.82–33.79 16.77–35.85 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 6.83 3.89–9.78 3.06–10.60 | 10.91 8.22–13.59 7.49–14.32 | 17.74 12.12–23.36 10.55–24.93 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 2.60 0.71–4.48 0.17–5.02 | 4.63 2.97–6.28 2.48–6.77 | 7.22 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.79 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 3.96 1.75–6.17 1.17–6.75 | 5.77 3.77–7.77 3.24–8.31 | 9.73 5.52–13.95 4.41–15.05 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 37.53 30.74–44.32 29.07–45.99 | 62.39 55.61–69.18 53.94–70.85 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 302 234–369 216–387 | 507 440–573 423–591 | 808 675–942 639–978 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.84 70.81–78.87 69.52–80.17 | 84.02 79.70–88.35 78.39–89.66 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 14.35 11.51–17.19 10.76–17.94 | 12.60 9.65–15.54 8.91–16.29 | 26.95 21.17–32.73 19.66–34.24 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.52–3.45 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.55 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 48% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.37 1.00–3.63 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.35 2.17–6.53 1.61–7.08 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.22 0.06–0.38 0.00–0.53 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.35 0.00–0.69 0.00–0.98 | 17% 73% |
| GK saves | 4.02 2.58–5.45 2.19–5.84 | 2.53 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 6.55 3.56–9.54 2.74–10.35 | 65% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

