Süper Lig·Regular Season - 21·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
25%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.610.852.45safe0.64–2.580.00–1.700.63–4.28safer0.39–2.830.00–1.930.15–4.76
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.932.967.89safe3.07–6.791.22–4.704.28–11.49safer2.58–7.280.75–5.173.33–12.45
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction14.979.3124.28safe11.05–18.905.75–12.8716.80–31.77safer9.96–19.994.79–13.8314.74–33.82
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction9.735.5615.29safe6.79–12.672.88–8.249.66–20.91safer5.96–13.502.14–8.988.10–22.48
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.842.416.25safe1.95–5.720.76–4.062.71–9.78safer1.41–6.260.26–4.551.67–10.82
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.593.689.27safe3.38–7.811.68–5.685.06–13.48safer2.81–8.381.14–6.213.95–14.59
Possession %
84%
14%
homeawayprediction58.7541.24safe51.96–65.5434.45–48.02safer50.29–67.2132.78–49.69
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction512360872safe445–579293–426738–1006safer427–598276–444703–1041
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction85.4979.02safe81.46–89.5274.70–83.34safer80.17–90.8173.39–84.65
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6711.8024.48safe9.84–15.518.86–14.7518.69–30.26safer9.08–16.278.11–15.4917.19–31.76
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.463.09safe0.47–2.790.37–2.550.84–5.35safer0.17–3.100.08–2.840.25–5.94
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.124.08safe0.92–3.010.99–3.251.90–6.26safer0.65–3.280.70–3.541.35–6.82
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
25%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.283.395.67safe0.85–3.721.83–4.952.68–8.66safer0.46–4.111.41–5.371.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 2.45 0.63–4.28 0.15–4.76 | 55% 25% 20% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.79 2.58–7.28 | 2.96 1.22–4.70 0.75–5.17 | 7.89 4.28–11.49 3.33–12.45 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 14.97 11.05–18.90 9.96–19.99 | 9.31 5.75–12.87 4.79–13.83 | 24.28 16.80–31.77 14.74–33.82 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.73 6.79–12.67 5.96–13.50 | 5.56 2.88–8.24 2.14–8.98 | 15.29 9.66–20.91 8.10–22.48 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.95–5.72 1.41–6.26 | 2.41 0.76–4.06 0.26–4.55 | 6.25 2.71–9.78 1.67–10.82 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.38 | 3.68 1.68–5.68 1.14–6.21 | 9.27 5.06–13.48 3.95–14.59 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 58.75 51.96–65.54 50.29–67.21 | 41.24 34.45–48.02 32.78–49.69 | — | 84% 14% |
| Passes | 512 445–579 427–598 | 360 293–426 276–444 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.49 81.46–89.52 80.17–90.81 | 79.02 74.70–83.34 73.39–84.65 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 12.67 9.84–15.51 9.08–16.27 | 11.80 8.86–14.75 8.11–15.49 | 24.48 18.69–30.26 17.19–31.76 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.10 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.09 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.92–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 4.08 1.90–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 3.39 1.83–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.87–9.48 | 25% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.