Süper Lig·Regular Season - 21·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.052.43safe0.41–2.350.20–1.910.61–4.25safer0.16–2.600.00–2.140.13–4.73
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.853.498.33safe2.98–6.711.74–5.234.73–11.94safer2.50–7.201.28–5.693.77–12.89
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2510.5926.84safe12.32–20.177.03–14.1619.36–34.33safer11.23–21.266.07–15.1217.30–36.38
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.446.4215.86safe6.50–12.393.74–9.1010.24–21.49safer5.67–13.223.00–9.848.67–23.05
Blocked shots
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.486.56safe2.20–5.970.83–4.133.03–10.10safer1.66–6.510.33–4.621.99–11.13
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.873.679.54safe3.66–8.081.67–5.675.33–13.75safer3.08–8.661.14–6.204.22–14.86
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.0642.07safe51.27–64.8535.29–48.86safer49.60–66.5233.62–50.53
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction524374899safe457–591308–441765–1032safer439–609291–458729–1068
Pass accuracy %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction85.4679.33safe81.43–89.4975.01–83.66safer80.14–90.7873.70–84.97
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1213.5927.71safe11.28–16.9610.64–16.5321.93–33.49safer10.53–17.719.89–17.2820.42–34.99
Offsides
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.182.55safe0.22–2.540.08–2.270.30–4.81safer0.00–2.840.00–2.560.00–5.40
Yellow cards
39%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.112.204.31safe1.06–3.161.07–3.332.13–6.49safer0.80–3.430.78–3.621.57–7.05
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.305.64safe0.90–3.771.74–4.862.65–8.63safer0.51–4.161.32–5.281.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.43 0.61–4.25 0.13–4.73 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.85 2.98–6.71 2.50–7.20 | 3.49 1.74–5.23 1.28–5.69 | 8.33 4.73–11.94 3.77–12.89 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 16.25 12.32–20.17 11.23–21.26 | 10.59 7.03–14.16 6.07–15.12 | 26.84 19.36–34.33 17.30–36.38 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 9.44 6.50–12.39 5.67–13.22 | 6.42 3.74–9.10 3.00–9.84 | 15.86 10.24–21.49 8.67–23.05 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 2.48 0.83–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 6.56 3.03–10.10 1.99–11.13 | 67% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 5.87 3.66–8.08 3.08–8.66 | 3.67 1.67–5.67 1.14–6.20 | 9.54 5.33–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 58.06 51.27–64.85 49.60–66.52 | 42.07 35.29–48.86 33.62–50.53 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 524 457–591 439–609 | 374 308–441 291–458 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.46 81.43–89.49 80.14–90.78 | 79.33 75.01–83.66 73.70–84.97 | — | 77% 20% |
| Fouls | 14.12 11.28–16.96 10.53–17.71 | 13.59 10.64–16.53 9.89–17.28 | 27.71 21.93–33.49 20.42–34.99 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 1.18 0.08–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 2.55 0.30–4.81 0.00–5.40 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.57–7.05 | 39% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 3.30 1.74–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 5.64 2.65–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+