Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.062.33safe0.30–2.240.20–1.910.51–4.15safer0.05–2.490.00–2.140.03–4.63
Shots on target
48%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.003.657.65safe2.13–5.861.91–5.394.04–11.25safer1.64–6.351.44–5.863.09–12.21
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5011.6224.13safe8.58–16.438.06–15.1816.64–31.61safer7.49–17.527.10–16.1414.59–33.66
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction8.586.3614.95safe5.64–11.533.68–9.049.32–20.57safer4.81–12.362.94–9.787.76–22.14
Blocked shots
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.343.066.40safe1.46–5.231.41–4.712.87–9.94safer0.92–5.770.91–5.201.83–10.97
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.114.239.35safe2.90–7.332.23–6.245.14–13.56safer2.33–7.901.70–6.774.03–14.67
Possession %
44%
52%
homeawayprediction49.1050.84safe42.31–55.8944.05–57.62safer40.64–57.5642.38–59.29
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction390411801safe323–457344–477667–934safer305–475327–494631–970
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction80.9681.71safe76.93–84.9977.39–86.04safer75.64–86.2876.08–87.35
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9013.8525.75safe9.06–14.7310.91–16.8019.97–31.53safer8.30–15.4910.16–17.5518.46–33.04
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.533.31safe0.62–2.940.44–2.621.05–5.56safer0.32–3.240.15–2.910.47–6.15
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.454.52safe1.01–3.111.32–3.582.34–6.69safer0.75–3.381.03–3.871.78–7.25
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.605.21safe1.17–4.041.05–4.162.21–8.20safer0.78–4.430.62–4.581.40–9.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.33 0.51–4.15 0.03–4.63 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.13–5.86 1.64–6.35 | 3.65 1.91–5.39 1.44–5.86 | 7.65 4.04–11.25 3.09–12.21 | 48% 15% 38% |
| Total shots | 12.50 8.58–16.43 7.49–17.52 | 11.62 8.06–15.18 7.10–16.14 | 24.13 16.64–31.61 14.59–33.66 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.58 5.64–11.53 4.81–12.36 | 6.36 3.68–9.04 2.94–9.78 | 14.95 9.32–20.57 7.76–22.14 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.46–5.23 0.92–5.77 | 3.06 1.41–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 6.40 2.87–9.94 1.83–10.97 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Corners | 5.11 2.90–7.33 2.33–7.90 | 4.23 2.23–6.24 1.70–6.77 | 9.35 5.14–13.56 4.03–14.67 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 49.10 42.31–55.89 40.64–57.56 | 50.84 44.05–57.62 42.38–59.29 | — | 44% 52% |
| Passes | 390 323–457 305–475 | 411 344–477 327–494 | 801 667–934 631–970 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.96 76.93–84.99 75.64–86.28 | 81.71 77.39–86.04 76.08–87.35 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 11.90 9.06–14.73 8.30–15.49 | 13.85 10.91–16.80 10.16–17.55 | 25.75 19.97–31.53 18.46–33.04 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.75–3.38 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.52 2.34–6.69 1.78–7.25 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 2.60 1.05–4.16 0.62–4.58 | 5.21 2.21–8.20 1.40–9.01 | 41% 18% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.