Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.360.843.20safe1.39–3.320.00–1.701.38–5.02safer1.14–3.580.00–1.920.90–5.50
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.762.919.67safe4.89–8.621.17–4.656.06–13.27safer4.41–9.110.70–5.125.11–14.23
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.509.1128.60safe15.57–23.425.54–12.6721.12–36.09safer14.48–24.514.58–13.6319.07–38.14
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.895.3418.23safe9.95–15.832.66–8.0212.61–23.85safer9.12–16.661.92–8.7611.04–25.42
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.062.157.21safe3.18–6.940.50–3.803.68–10.75safer2.63–7.490.01–4.302.64–11.78
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.283.0410.32safe5.07–9.501.04–5.046.11–14.54safer4.50–10.070.51–5.575.00–15.64
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.8639.51safe54.07–67.6532.73–46.30safer52.40–69.3231.06–47.97
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction543352895safe476–610285–418761–1028safer458–628268–436725–1064
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction84.6175.92safe80.58–88.6471.60–80.25safer79.28–89.9370.29–81.55
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7713.6025.36safe8.93–14.6010.65–16.5419.58–31.15safer8.17–15.369.91–17.2918.08–32.65
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.623.49safe0.71–3.030.53–2.711.24–5.74safer0.41–3.330.24–3.000.65–6.33
Yellow cards
23%
17%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.764.47safe0.66–2.761.63–3.892.29–6.65safer0.39–3.031.34–4.181.74–7.21
Red cards
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.190.26safe0.00–0.230.00–0.380.00–0.61safer0.00–0.380.00–0.510.00–0.89
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.226.36safe0.70–3.572.67–5.783.36–9.35safer0.31–3.962.24–6.202.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.36 1.39–3.32 1.14–3.58 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.92 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 71% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.76 4.89–8.62 4.41–9.11 | 2.91 1.17–4.65 0.70–5.12 | 9.67 6.06–13.27 5.11–14.23 | 86% |
| Total shots | 19.50 15.57–23.42 14.48–24.51 | 9.11 5.54–12.67 4.58–13.63 | 28.60 21.12–36.09 19.07–38.14 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.89 9.95–15.83 9.12–16.66 | 5.34 2.66–8.02 1.92–8.76 | 18.23 12.61–23.85 11.04–25.42 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.06 3.18–6.94 2.63–7.49 | 2.15 0.50–3.80 0.01–4.30 | 7.21 3.68–10.75 2.64–11.78 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.28 5.07–9.50 4.50–10.07 | 3.04 1.04–5.04 0.51–5.57 | 10.32 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.64 | 88% |
| Possession % | 60.86 54.07–67.65 52.40–69.32 | 39.51 32.73–46.30 31.06–47.97 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 543 476–610 458–628 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 895 761–1028 725–1064 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.61 80.58–88.64 79.28–89.93 | 75.92 71.60–80.25 70.29–81.55 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.77 8.93–14.60 8.17–15.36 | 13.60 10.65–16.54 9.91–17.29 | 25.36 19.58–31.15 18.08–32.65 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.49 1.24–5.74 0.65–6.33 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.03 | 2.76 1.63–3.89 1.34–4.18 | 4.47 2.29–6.65 1.74–7.21 | 23% 17% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.19 0.00–0.38 0.00–0.51 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% 16% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 4.22 2.67–5.78 2.24–6.20 | 6.36 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+