Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.353.04safe0.72–2.650.50–2.211.21–4.86safer0.47–2.910.27–2.430.74–5.34
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.029.57safe3.69–7.412.28–5.775.97–13.18safer3.20–7.901.81–6.235.01–14.13
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2211.0626.29safe11.30–19.157.50–14.6318.80–33.77safer10.21–20.246.54–15.5916.75–35.82
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.847.4417.28safe6.90–12.784.76–10.1211.66–22.90safer6.07–13.614.02–10.8610.09–24.47
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.902.766.67safe2.02–5.791.11–4.423.13–10.20safer1.48–6.330.62–4.912.10–11.24
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.069.69safe3.42–7.842.06–6.065.48–13.91safer2.84–8.421.53–6.604.37–15.01
Possession %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction54.2346.49safe47.44–61.0239.71–53.28safer45.77–62.6938.04–54.95
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction482405887safe414–549339–472753–1021safer396–567321–489718–1056
Pass accuracy %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction85.7782.78safe81.74–89.8078.45–87.10safer80.45–91.0977.14–88.41
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5611.0024.56safe10.72–16.408.05–13.9418.78–30.34safer9.97–17.157.31–14.6917.27–31.85
Offsides
63%
17%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.941.714.65safe1.78–4.100.62–2.802.39–6.90safer1.47–4.400.33–3.091.80–7.49
Yellow cards
41%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.853.80safe0.90–3.000.72–2.981.62–5.98safer0.64–3.270.43–3.271.06–6.53
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.706.33safe1.19–4.062.15–5.263.34–9.32safer0.80–4.451.72–5.682.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.72–2.65 0.47–2.91 | 1.35 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.43 | 3.04 1.21–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.55 3.69–7.41 3.20–7.90 | 4.02 2.28–5.77 1.81–6.23 | 9.57 5.97–13.18 5.01–14.13 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.22 11.30–19.15 10.21–20.24 | 11.06 7.50–14.63 6.54–15.59 | 26.29 18.80–33.77 16.75–35.82 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.84 6.90–12.78 6.07–13.61 | 7.44 4.76–10.12 4.02–10.86 | 17.28 11.66–22.90 10.09–24.47 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.02–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 2.76 1.11–4.42 0.62–4.91 | 6.67 3.13–10.20 2.10–11.24 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.42–7.84 2.84–8.42 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.60 | 9.69 5.48–13.91 4.37–15.01 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 54.23 47.44–61.02 45.77–62.69 | 46.49 39.71–53.28 38.04–54.95 | — | 65% 30% |
| Passes | 482 414–549 396–567 | 405 339–472 321–489 | 887 753–1021 718–1056 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.77 81.74–89.80 80.45–91.09 | 82.78 78.45–87.10 77.14–88.41 | — | 63% 33% |
| Fouls | 13.56 10.72–16.40 9.97–17.15 | 11.00 8.05–13.94 7.31–14.69 | 24.56 18.78–30.34 17.27–31.85 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 2.94 1.78–4.10 1.47–4.40 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 4.65 2.39–6.90 1.80–7.49 | 63% 17% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.06–6.53 | 41% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.70 2.15–5.26 1.72–5.68 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.14 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.