Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
19%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.032.283.32safe0.07–2.001.43–3.141.49–5.14safer0.00–2.251.20–3.371.01–5.62
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.916.029.93safe2.04–5.774.28–7.766.32–13.53safer1.55–6.263.81–8.235.37–14.49
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3715.2426.61safe7.44–15.2911.68–18.8119.12–34.10safer6.35–16.3810.72–19.7617.07–36.15
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5810.5017.08safe3.64–9.537.82–13.1811.46–22.71safer2.81–10.367.08–13.929.89–24.27
Blocked shots
23%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.904.337.23safe1.02–4.782.68–5.983.70–10.77safer0.48–5.332.19–6.482.66–11.80
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.695.599.28safe1.48–5.913.59–7.595.07–13.50safer0.91–6.483.06–8.123.96–14.60
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.3960.97safe31.60–45.1854.19–67.76safer29.93–46.8552.52–69.43
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction310488798safe243–377422–554664–932safer225–395404–572629–967
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction77.9384.51safe73.90–81.9680.19–88.84safer72.61–83.2578.88–90.15
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1313.7426.87safe10.29–15.9710.80–16.6921.09–32.65safer9.54–16.7210.05–17.4319.58–34.16
Offsides
23%
18%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.664.31safe0.50–2.821.56–3.752.06–6.57safer0.19–3.121.28–4.041.47–7.16
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.314.33safe0.98–3.071.18–3.442.15–6.51safer0.71–3.340.89–3.731.60–7.07
Red cards
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.140.31safe0.01–0.330.00–0.330.00–0.66safer0.00–0.480.00–0.460.00–0.94
GK saves
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.956.61safe2.23–5.101.39–4.503.62–9.61safer1.84–5.490.97–4.932.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.07–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 2.28 1.43–3.14 1.20–3.37 | 3.32 1.49–5.14 1.01–5.62 | 16% 19% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.04–5.77 1.55–6.26 | 6.02 4.28–7.76 3.81–8.23 | 9.93 6.32–13.53 5.37–14.49 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.37 7.44–15.29 6.35–16.38 | 15.24 11.68–18.81 10.72–19.76 | 26.61 19.12–34.10 17.07–36.15 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 6.58 3.64–9.53 2.81–10.36 | 10.50 7.82–13.18 7.08–13.92 | 17.08 11.46–22.71 9.89–24.27 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 2.90 1.02–4.78 0.48–5.33 | 4.33 2.68–5.98 2.19–6.48 | 7.23 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 23% 13% 63% |
| Corners | 3.69 1.48–5.91 0.91–6.48 | 5.59 3.59–7.59 3.06–8.12 | 9.28 5.07–13.50 3.96–14.60 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 38.39 31.60–45.18 29.93–46.85 | 60.97 54.19–67.76 52.52–69.43 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 310 243–377 225–395 | 488 422–554 404–572 | 798 664–932 629–967 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.93 73.90–81.96 72.61–83.25 | 84.51 80.19–88.84 78.88–90.15 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 13.13 10.29–15.97 9.54–16.72 | 13.74 10.80–16.69 10.05–17.43 | 26.87 21.09–32.65 19.58–34.16 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.19–3.12 | 2.66 1.56–3.75 1.28–4.04 | 4.31 2.06–6.57 1.47–7.16 | 23% 18% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.98–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.33 2.15–6.51 1.60–7.07 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 14% 75% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.23–5.10 1.84–5.49 | 2.95 1.39–4.50 0.97–4.93 | 6.61 3.62–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 53% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.