Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.470.743.21safe1.50–3.430.00–1.591.38–5.03safer1.25–3.690.00–1.820.90–5.51
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.042.789.82safe5.17–8.901.04–4.526.21–13.42safer4.69–9.390.57–4.995.26–14.38
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.298.4628.75safe16.37–24.224.89–12.0221.26–36.24safer15.28–25.313.93–12.9819.21–38.29
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.484.9118.39safe10.54–16.422.23–7.5912.77–24.01safer9.71–17.251.49–8.3311.20–25.58
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction4.832.046.87safe2.95–6.710.39–3.703.34–10.41safer2.40–7.250.00–4.192.30–11.44
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.383.0310.41safe5.17–9.601.03–5.036.20–14.62safer4.60–10.170.49–5.565.09–15.73
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.8538.19safe56.06–69.6431.40–44.97safer54.39–71.3129.73–46.65
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction576344921safe509–644278–411787–1054safer491–662260–428751–1090
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction84.2775.88safe80.24–88.3071.56–80.21safer78.95–89.5970.25–81.52
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8812.3825.26safe10.04–15.729.43–15.3219.47–31.04safer9.29–16.478.68–16.0717.97–32.54
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.392.84safe0.28–2.600.30–2.490.58–5.09safer0.00–2.910.01–2.770.00–5.68
Yellow cards
30%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.003.53safe0.48–2.580.87–3.131.35–5.70safer0.21–2.840.58–3.420.79–6.26
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.054.376.42safe0.61–3.482.81–5.933.42–9.41safer0.22–3.872.39–6.352.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.47 1.50–3.43 1.25–3.69 | 0.74 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 3.21 1.38–5.03 0.90–5.51 | 75% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.04 5.17–8.90 4.69–9.39 | 2.78 1.04–4.52 0.57–4.99 | 9.82 6.21–13.42 5.26–14.38 | 89% |
| Total shots | 20.29 16.37–24.22 15.28–25.31 | 8.46 4.89–12.02 3.93–12.98 | 28.75 21.26–36.24 19.21–38.29 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.48 10.54–16.42 9.71–17.25 | 4.91 2.23–7.59 1.49–8.33 | 18.39 12.77–24.01 11.20–25.58 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.71 2.40–7.25 | 2.04 0.39–3.70 0.00–4.19 | 6.87 3.34–10.41 2.30–11.44 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.38 5.17–9.60 4.60–10.17 | 3.03 1.03–5.03 0.49–5.56 | 10.41 6.20–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 89% |
| Possession % | 62.85 56.06–69.64 54.39–71.31 | 38.19 31.40–44.97 29.73–46.65 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 576 509–644 491–662 | 344 278–411 260–428 | 921 787–1054 751–1090 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.27 80.24–88.30 78.95–89.59 | 75.88 71.56–80.21 70.25–81.52 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.88 10.04–15.72 9.29–16.47 | 12.38 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.07 | 25.26 19.47–31.04 17.97–32.54 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.91 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.77 | 2.84 0.58–5.09 0.00–5.68 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.53 1.35–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 30% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.05 0.61–3.48 0.22–3.87 | 4.37 2.81–5.93 2.39–6.35 | 6.42 3.42–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.