Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.162.68safe0.55–2.490.30–2.010.85–4.50safer0.30–2.740.07–2.240.37–4.98
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.933.728.65safe3.07–6.791.98–5.465.05–12.26safer2.58–7.281.51–5.934.09–13.21
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5912.0526.64safe10.66–18.518.49–15.6119.15–34.13safer9.57–19.617.53–16.5717.10–36.18
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.597.0016.59safe6.65–12.534.32–9.6810.96–22.21safer5.82–13.363.58–10.429.40–23.78
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.633.076.70safe1.75–5.511.42–4.723.17–10.24safer1.21–6.060.92–5.222.13–11.27
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.369.48safe2.90–7.332.36–6.365.26–13.69safer2.33–7.901.83–6.894.16–14.80
Possession %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction54.0645.44safe47.27–60.8538.65–52.22safer45.60–62.5236.98–53.89
Passes
70%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction432367799safe364–499301–433665–932safer346–517283–451629–968
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction82.5979.31safe78.56–86.6274.98–83.63safer77.27–87.9173.67–84.94
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7214.6527.37safe9.89–15.5611.70–17.5921.59–33.15safer9.13–16.3210.95–18.3420.08–34.66
Offsides
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.382.86safe0.32–2.640.29–2.480.61–5.11safer0.02–2.940.00–2.760.02–5.70
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.192.414.60safe1.14–3.241.28–3.542.42–6.78safer0.88–3.510.99–3.831.86–7.33
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.436.04safe1.17–4.041.87–4.993.04–9.03safer0.78–4.431.45–5.412.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.79 2.58–7.28 | 3.72 1.98–5.46 1.51–5.93 | 8.65 5.05–12.26 4.09–13.21 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.59 10.66–18.51 9.57–19.61 | 12.05 8.49–15.61 7.53–16.57 | 26.64 19.15–34.13 17.10–36.18 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.59 6.65–12.53 5.82–13.36 | 7.00 4.32–9.68 3.58–10.42 | 16.59 10.96–22.21 9.40–23.78 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.51 1.21–6.06 | 3.07 1.42–4.72 0.92–5.22 | 6.70 3.17–10.24 2.13–11.27 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.90–7.33 2.33–7.90 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.89 | 9.48 5.26–13.69 4.16–14.80 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 54.06 47.27–60.85 45.60–62.52 | 45.44 38.65–52.22 36.98–53.89 | — | 67% 28% |
| Passes | 432 364–499 346–517 | 367 301–433 283–451 | 799 665–932 629–968 | 70% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.59 78.56–86.62 77.27–87.91 | 79.31 74.98–83.63 73.67–84.94 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 12.72 9.89–15.56 9.13–16.32 | 14.65 11.70–17.59 10.95–18.34 | 27.37 21.59–33.15 20.08–34.66 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.38 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.76 | 2.86 0.61–5.11 0.02–5.70 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.19 1.14–3.24 0.88–3.51 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.60 2.42–6.78 1.86–7.33 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.43 1.87–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 6.04 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+