Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
26%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.550.892.44safe0.58–2.520.04–1.750.62–4.27safer0.33–2.770.00–1.970.14–4.75
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.268.08safe2.96–6.691.52–5.004.48–11.69safer2.47–7.181.05–5.473.52–12.64
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0110.3425.35safe11.08–18.936.78–13.9117.86–32.84safer9.99–20.025.82–14.8715.81–34.89
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.176.1616.33safe7.22–13.113.48–8.8410.70–21.95safer6.39–13.942.74–9.589.14–23.52
Blocked shots
52%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.652.996.64safe1.77–5.541.34–4.643.11–10.18safer1.23–6.080.84–5.142.07–11.22
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.189.70safe3.31–7.732.18–6.185.49–13.92safer2.73–8.311.65–6.724.38–15.02
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.2749.42safe42.48–56.0642.64–56.21safer40.81–57.7340.97–57.88
Passes
52%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction388380768safe321–455314–447635–902safer303–473296–464599–938
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction75.9776.09safe71.94–80.0071.77–80.42safer70.65–81.2970.46–81.73
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0411.3925.43safe11.20–16.888.45–14.3419.65–31.21safer10.45–17.637.70–15.0818.14–32.72
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.393.31safe0.76–3.080.30–2.481.06–5.56safer0.46–3.380.01–2.770.47–6.15
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.883.89safe0.96–3.050.75–3.011.71–6.07safer0.69–3.320.46–3.301.15–6.62
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
25%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.365.61safe0.82–3.691.80–4.922.62–8.61safer0.43–4.081.38–5.341.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.97 | 2.44 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.75 | 53% 26% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.96–6.69 2.47–7.18 | 3.26 1.52–5.00 1.05–5.47 | 8.08 4.48–11.69 3.52–12.64 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.01 11.08–18.93 9.99–20.02 | 10.34 6.78–13.91 5.82–14.87 | 25.35 17.86–32.84 15.81–34.89 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.17 7.22–13.11 6.39–13.94 | 6.16 3.48–8.84 2.74–9.58 | 16.33 10.70–21.95 9.14–23.52 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.77–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 2.99 1.34–4.64 0.84–5.14 | 6.64 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.22 | 52% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.73 2.73–8.31 | 4.18 2.18–6.18 1.65–6.72 | 9.70 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.02 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 49.27 42.48–56.06 40.81–57.73 | 49.42 42.64–56.21 40.97–57.88 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 380 314–447 296–464 | 768 635–902 599–938 | 52% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.97 71.94–80.00 70.65–81.29 | 76.09 71.77–80.42 70.46–81.73 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 14.04 11.20–16.88 10.45–17.63 | 11.39 8.45–14.34 7.70–15.08 | 25.43 19.65–31.21 18.14–32.72 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.31 1.06–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.96–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.62 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 3.36 1.80–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 5.61 2.62–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 25% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

