Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.352.72safe0.41–2.350.49–2.200.90–4.55safer0.16–2.600.26–2.430.42–5.03
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.409.06safe2.80–6.532.65–6.145.46–12.67safer2.31–7.022.19–6.604.50–13.62
Total shots
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9813.1327.10safe10.05–17.909.57–16.6919.62–34.59safer8.96–18.998.61–17.6517.57–36.64
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction7.778.2916.06safe4.83–10.715.61–10.9810.44–21.69safer4.00–11.544.88–11.718.87–23.25
Blocked shots
42%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.787.48safe1.82–5.592.12–5.433.95–11.02safer1.28–6.131.63–5.922.91–12.05
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.789.72safe2.73–7.162.78–6.785.51–13.93safer2.15–7.732.25–7.314.40–15.04
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction55.0645.96safe48.27–61.8539.18–52.75safer46.60–63.5237.51–54.42
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction452385837safe385–519319–452704–971safer367–537301–469668–1007
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction82.6279.60safe78.59–86.6575.27–83.92safer77.30–87.9573.96–85.23
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4613.7925.25safe8.62–14.2910.85–16.7419.46–31.03safer7.86–15.0510.10–17.4817.96–32.53
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.653.29safe0.48–2.800.55–2.741.03–5.54safer0.18–3.100.26–3.030.45–6.13
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.394.60safe1.16–3.261.26–3.522.42–6.78safer0.89–3.520.97–3.811.86–7.34
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.140.23safe0.00–0.250.00–0.330.00–0.58safer0.00–0.400.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.116.21safe1.66–4.531.56–4.673.22–9.20safer1.27–4.921.13–5.092.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.67 2.80–6.53 2.31–7.02 | 4.40 2.65–6.14 2.19–6.60 | 9.06 5.46–12.67 4.50–13.62 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.98 10.05–17.90 8.96–18.99 | 13.13 9.57–16.69 8.61–17.65 | 27.10 19.62–34.59 17.57–36.64 | 53% 40% |
| Shots in box | 7.77 4.83–10.71 4.00–11.54 | 8.29 5.61–10.98 4.88–11.71 | 16.06 10.44–21.69 8.87–23.25 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.59 1.28–6.13 | 3.78 2.12–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 7.48 3.95–11.02 2.91–12.05 | 42% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.16 2.15–7.73 | 4.78 2.78–6.78 2.25–7.31 | 9.72 5.51–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 55.06 48.27–61.85 46.60–63.52 | 45.96 39.18–52.75 37.51–54.42 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 452 385–519 367–537 | 385 319–452 301–469 | 837 704–971 668–1007 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.62 78.59–86.65 77.30–87.95 | 79.60 75.27–83.92 73.96–85.23 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.46 8.62–14.29 7.86–15.05 | 13.79 10.85–16.74 10.10–17.48 | 25.25 19.46–31.03 17.96–32.53 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.03 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.45–6.13 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.21 1.16–3.26 0.89–3.52 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 4.60 2.42–6.78 1.86–7.34 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 3.11 1.56–4.67 1.13–5.09 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.41–10.02 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+