Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.983.01safe0.06–2.001.13–2.841.19–4.84safer0.00–2.250.90–3.070.71–5.32
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.775.449.21safe1.91–5.643.70–7.185.61–12.82safer1.42–6.133.23–7.654.65–13.77
Total shots
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0915.1926.29safe7.17–15.0211.63–18.7518.80–33.77safer6.08–16.1110.67–19.7116.75–35.82
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8110.5917.40safe3.87–9.757.90–13.2711.77–23.02safer3.04–10.587.17–14.0010.21–24.59
Blocked shots
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.074.297.36safe1.19–4.962.63–5.943.83–10.90safer0.65–5.502.14–6.432.79–11.93
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.075.489.55safe1.86–6.293.48–7.485.34–13.76safer1.29–6.862.94–8.014.23–14.87
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.1951.69safe41.40–54.9844.90–58.47safer39.73–56.6543.23–60.15
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction420446866safe353–488379–512732–1000safer335–506362–530697–1035
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction81.0483.52safe77.01–85.0779.19–87.84safer75.72–86.3677.88–89.15
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9513.5725.52safe9.11–14.7810.63–16.5219.74–31.30safer8.35–15.549.88–17.2718.23–32.81
Offsides
67%
17%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.751.354.10safe1.58–3.910.26–2.451.85–6.35safer1.28–4.210.00–2.731.26–6.94
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.094.14safe1.00–3.100.97–3.221.96–6.32safer0.73–3.360.67–3.511.41–6.88
Red cards
15%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.090.27safe0.02–0.340.00–0.280.00–0.62safer0.00–0.490.00–0.410.00–0.90
GK saves
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.556.26safe2.27–5.141.00–4.113.26–9.25safer1.88–5.530.57–4.532.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 1.98 1.13–2.84 0.90–3.07 | 3.01 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 19% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.77 1.91–5.64 1.42–6.13 | 5.44 3.70–7.18 3.23–7.65 | 9.21 5.61–12.82 4.65–13.77 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 11.09 7.17–15.02 6.08–16.11 | 15.19 11.63–18.75 10.67–19.71 | 26.29 18.80–33.77 16.75–35.82 | 18% 76% |
| Shots in box | 6.81 3.87–9.75 3.04–10.58 | 10.59 7.90–13.27 7.17–14.00 | 17.40 11.77–23.02 10.21–24.59 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.96 0.65–5.50 | 4.29 2.63–5.94 2.14–6.43 | 7.36 3.83–10.90 2.79–11.93 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Corners | 4.07 1.86–6.29 1.29–6.86 | 5.48 3.48–7.48 2.94–8.01 | 9.55 5.34–13.76 4.23–14.87 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 48.19 41.40–54.98 39.73–56.65 | 51.69 44.90–58.47 43.23–60.15 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 420 353–488 335–506 | 446 379–512 362–530 | 866 732–1000 697–1035 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.04 77.01–85.07 75.72–86.36 | 83.52 79.19–87.84 77.88–89.15 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.95 9.11–14.78 8.35–15.54 | 13.57 10.63–16.52 9.88–17.27 | 25.52 19.74–31.30 18.23–32.81 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.75 1.58–3.91 1.28–4.21 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.73 | 4.10 1.85–6.35 1.26–6.94 | 67% 17% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 2.09 0.97–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.41–6.88 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.02–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 15% 77% |
| GK saves | 3.70 2.27–5.14 1.88–5.53 | 2.55 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 6.26 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 60% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.