Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.770.982.75safe0.80–2.740.12–1.830.93–4.57safer0.55–2.990.00–2.060.45–5.05
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.283.288.56safe3.42–7.141.54–5.024.95–12.16safer2.93–7.631.07–5.494.00–13.12
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.359.7026.05safe12.43–20.286.14–13.2718.57–33.54safer11.34–21.375.18–14.2216.52–35.59
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.385.8616.24safe7.44–13.323.18–8.5410.62–21.86safer6.61–14.152.44–9.289.05–23.43
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.366.69safe2.45–6.220.71–4.013.16–10.23safer1.91–6.760.21–4.512.12–11.27
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.769.55safe3.58–8.001.76–5.765.34–13.76safer3.00–8.581.23–6.294.23–14.87
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.0444.95safe48.25–61.8338.16–51.73safer46.58–63.5036.49–53.40
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction462377838safe394–529310–443705–972safer376–547293–461669–1008
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction83.7779.62safe79.74–87.8075.30–83.95safer78.45–89.0973.99–85.25
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7512.0926.84safe11.91–17.599.14–15.0321.06–32.62safer11.16–18.358.39–15.7819.55–34.12
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.473.09safe0.46–2.780.38–2.570.84–5.35safer0.16–3.080.09–2.850.25–5.94
Yellow cards
34%
19%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.554.71safe1.11–3.211.42–3.682.53–6.89safer0.85–3.481.13–3.971.98–7.45
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.625.82safe0.76–3.642.06–5.182.83–8.81safer0.38–4.021.64–5.602.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.28 3.42–7.14 2.93–7.63 | 3.28 1.54–5.02 1.07–5.49 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.35 12.43–20.28 11.34–21.37 | 9.70 6.14–13.27 5.18–14.22 | 26.05 18.57–33.54 16.52–35.59 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.38 7.44–13.32 6.61–14.15 | 5.86 3.18–8.54 2.44–9.28 | 16.24 10.62–21.86 9.05–23.43 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 2.36 0.71–4.01 0.21–4.51 | 6.69 3.16–10.23 2.12–11.27 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.00 3.00–8.58 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.23–6.29 | 9.55 5.34–13.76 4.23–14.87 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 55.04 48.25–61.83 46.58–63.50 | 44.95 38.16–51.73 36.49–53.40 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 462 394–529 376–547 | 377 310–443 293–461 | 838 705–972 669–1008 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.77 79.74–87.80 78.45–89.09 | 79.62 75.30–83.95 73.99–85.25 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 14.75 11.91–17.59 11.16–18.35 | 12.09 9.14–15.03 8.39–15.78 | 26.84 21.06–32.62 19.55–34.12 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.85 | 3.09 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 2.55 1.42–3.68 1.13–3.97 | 4.71 2.53–6.89 1.98–7.45 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.76–3.64 0.38–4.02 | 3.62 2.06–5.18 1.64–5.60 | 5.82 2.83–8.81 2.02–9.63 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.