Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.190.893.07safe1.22–3.160.03–1.741.25–4.90safer0.97–3.410.00–1.970.77–5.38
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.893.389.27safe4.03–7.751.64–5.125.67–12.88safer3.54–8.241.17–5.594.71–13.83
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.459.9826.43safe12.53–20.386.42–13.5418.95–33.92safer11.44–21.475.46–14.5016.90–35.97
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.965.7816.74safe8.02–13.903.10–8.4611.12–22.36safer7.19–14.732.36–9.209.55–23.93
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.172.296.46safe2.29–6.060.64–3.942.93–10.00safer1.75–6.600.14–4.431.89–11.03
Corners
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.853.319.15safe3.63–8.061.31–5.314.94–13.37safer3.06–8.630.77–5.843.83–14.47
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.5039.40safe54.71–68.2932.61–46.18safer53.04–69.9630.94–47.86
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction536349885safe469–604282–415751–1019safer451–622265–433716–1054
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction87.8781.28safe83.85–91.9076.95–85.60safer82.55–93.2075.64–86.91
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4012.3625.76safe10.56–16.249.41–15.3019.98–31.54safer9.81–16.998.67–16.0518.47–33.05
Offsides
40%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.254.50safe1.09–3.411.16–3.352.25–6.76safer0.79–3.710.87–3.641.66–7.35
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.153.72safe0.52–2.621.02–3.281.54–5.90safer0.25–2.890.73–3.570.99–6.46
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.555.95safe0.97–3.841.99–5.112.96–8.95safer0.58–4.231.57–5.532.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.22–3.16 0.97–3.41 | 0.89 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 3.07 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.38 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.89 4.03–7.75 3.54–8.24 | 3.38 1.64–5.12 1.17–5.59 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.83 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.45 12.53–20.38 11.44–21.47 | 9.98 6.42–13.54 5.46–14.50 | 26.43 18.95–33.92 16.90–35.97 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.96 8.02–13.90 7.19–14.73 | 5.78 3.10–8.46 2.36–9.20 | 16.74 11.12–22.36 9.55–23.93 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.17 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 2.29 0.64–3.94 0.14–4.43 | 6.46 2.93–10.00 1.89–11.03 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.63–8.06 3.06–8.63 | 3.31 1.31–5.31 0.77–5.84 | 9.15 4.94–13.37 3.83–14.47 | 75% 15% |
| Possession % | 61.50 54.71–68.29 53.04–69.96 | 39.40 32.61–46.18 30.94–47.86 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 536 469–604 451–622 | 349 282–415 265–433 | 885 751–1019 716–1054 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.87 83.85–91.90 82.55–93.20 | 81.28 76.95–85.60 75.64–86.91 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 13.40 10.56–16.24 9.81–16.99 | 12.36 9.41–15.30 8.67–16.05 | 25.76 19.98–31.54 18.47–33.05 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 2.25 1.16–3.35 0.87–3.64 | 4.50 2.25–6.76 1.66–7.35 | 40% 19% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.89 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.99–6.46 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.97–3.84 0.58–4.23 | 3.55 1.99–5.11 1.57–5.53 | 5.95 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+