Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction0.822.403.22safe0.00–1.791.55–3.251.40–5.04safer0.00–2.041.32–3.480.92–5.52
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction2.706.238.93safe0.84–4.574.49–7.975.33–12.54safer0.35–5.064.02–8.444.37–13.49
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4017.2326.63safe5.48–13.3213.67–20.7919.14–34.12safer4.38–14.4212.71–21.7517.09–36.17
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6411.1116.74safe2.69–8.588.42–13.7911.12–22.37safer1.86–9.417.69–14.529.55–23.93
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.514.406.91safe0.63–4.392.75–6.063.38–10.45safer0.09–4.942.26–6.552.34–11.48
Corners
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.466.239.69safe1.25–5.684.23–8.235.47–13.90safer0.67–6.253.69–8.764.37–15.01
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.0765.00safe27.28–40.8658.22–71.79safer25.61–42.5356.54–73.46
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction327578906safe260–395512–645772–1039safer242–413494–662736–1075
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction74.9784.40safe70.94–79.0080.08–88.72safer69.65–80.2978.77–90.03
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9711.9124.88safe10.14–15.818.96–14.8519.10–30.66safer9.38–16.578.21–15.6017.59–32.17
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.733.23safe0.33–2.650.64–2.830.97–5.48safer0.03–2.950.35–3.120.38–6.07
Yellow cards
38%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.903.73safe0.79–2.890.77–3.031.55–5.91safer0.52–3.150.48–3.321.00–6.47
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
69%
13%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.852.145.99safe2.42–5.290.58–3.703.00–8.99safer2.03–5.680.16–4.122.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.82 0.00–1.79 0.00–2.04 | 2.40 1.55–3.25 1.32–3.48 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 17% 72% |
| Shots on target | 2.70 0.84–4.57 0.35–5.06 | 6.23 4.49–7.97 4.02–8.44 | 8.93 5.33–12.54 4.37–13.49 | 85% |
| Total shots | 9.40 5.48–13.32 4.38–14.42 | 17.23 13.67–20.79 12.71–21.75 | 26.63 19.14–34.12 17.09–36.17 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 5.64 2.69–8.58 1.86–9.41 | 11.11 8.42–13.79 7.69–14.52 | 16.74 11.12–22.37 9.55–23.93 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 2.51 0.63–4.39 0.09–4.94 | 4.40 2.75–6.06 2.26–6.55 | 6.91 3.38–10.45 2.34–11.48 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.46 1.25–5.68 0.67–6.25 | 6.23 4.23–8.23 3.69–8.76 | 9.69 5.47–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 14% 77% |
| Possession % | 34.07 27.28–40.86 25.61–42.53 | 65.00 58.22–71.79 56.54–73.46 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 327 260–395 242–413 | 578 512–645 494–662 | 906 772–1039 736–1075 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.97 70.94–79.00 69.65–80.29 | 84.40 80.08–88.72 78.77–90.03 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.97 10.14–15.81 9.38–16.57 | 11.91 8.96–14.85 8.21–15.60 | 24.88 19.10–30.66 17.59–32.17 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.12 | 3.23 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 38% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.85 2.42–5.29 2.03–5.68 | 2.14 0.58–3.70 0.16–4.12 | 5.99 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 69% 13% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

