Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.153.05safe0.94–2.880.29–2.001.23–4.88safer0.69–3.130.06–2.230.75–5.36
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.149.69safe3.69–7.412.40–5.886.09–13.30safer3.20–7.901.93–6.355.13–14.25
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4310.6926.12safe11.51–19.367.12–14.2518.63–33.61safer10.42–20.456.16–15.2116.58–35.66
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.257.1117.36safe7.30–13.194.43–9.7911.73–22.98safer6.47–14.023.69–10.5310.17–24.55
Blocked shots
57%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.013.027.03safe2.13–5.901.36–4.673.49–10.56safer1.59–6.440.87–5.162.46–11.60
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.553.869.40safe3.33–7.761.86–5.865.19–13.62safer2.76–8.331.32–6.394.08–14.72
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.0449.23safe44.25–57.8342.45–56.02safer42.58–59.5040.78–57.69
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction417417834safe350–485350–483700–968safer332–503333–501665–1003
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction80.5879.04safe76.55–84.6174.72–83.37safer75.26–85.9073.41–84.68
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8012.3425.14safe9.96–15.649.39–15.2819.36–30.92safer9.21–16.398.65–16.0317.85–32.43
Offsides
30%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.604.58safe0.82–3.141.51–3.702.33–6.83safer0.51–3.441.22–3.981.74–7.42
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.414.43safe0.97–3.071.28–3.542.25–6.61safer0.70–3.330.99–3.831.69–7.16
Red cards
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.160.24safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.59safer0.00–0.390.00–0.480.00–0.87
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.416.11safe1.26–4.131.86–4.973.11–9.10safer0.87–4.521.43–5.392.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 3.05 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.55 3.69–7.41 3.20–7.90 | 4.14 2.40–5.88 1.93–6.35 | 9.69 6.09–13.30 5.13–14.25 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.43 11.51–19.36 10.42–20.45 | 10.69 7.12–14.25 6.16–15.21 | 26.12 18.63–33.61 16.58–35.66 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.25 7.30–13.19 6.47–14.02 | 7.11 4.43–9.79 3.69–10.53 | 17.36 11.73–22.98 10.17–24.55 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.13–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 3.02 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 7.03 3.49–10.56 2.46–11.60 | 57% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.33–7.76 2.76–8.33 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.32–6.39 | 9.40 5.19–13.62 4.08–14.72 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 51.04 44.25–57.83 42.58–59.50 | 49.23 42.45–56.02 40.78–57.69 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 417 350–485 332–503 | 417 350–483 333–501 | 834 700–968 665–1003 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.58 76.55–84.61 75.26–85.90 | 79.04 74.72–83.37 73.41–84.68 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 12.80 9.96–15.64 9.21–16.39 | 12.34 9.39–15.28 8.65–16.03 | 25.14 19.36–30.92 17.85–32.43 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.51–3.44 | 2.60 1.51–3.70 1.22–3.98 | 4.58 2.33–6.83 1.74–7.42 | 30% 19% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.43 2.25–6.61 1.69–7.16 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 6.11 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.