Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
26%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.512.50safe0.02–1.960.66–2.370.68–4.33safer0.00–2.210.43–2.600.20–4.81
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.625.018.63safe1.76–5.493.27–6.755.03–12.24safer1.27–5.982.80–7.224.07–13.19
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7614.5226.29safe7.84–15.6910.96–18.0818.80–33.77safer6.75–16.7810.00–19.0416.75–35.82
Shots in box
24%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction6.919.1916.11safe3.97–9.866.51–11.8710.48–21.73safer3.14–10.695.77–12.618.92–23.30
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.123.796.91safe1.24–5.002.14–5.453.38–10.45safer0.69–5.541.65–5.942.34–11.48
Corners
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.415.359.76safe2.20–6.623.35–7.355.54–13.97safer1.62–7.202.81–7.884.44–15.08
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction39.8560.01safe33.06–46.6453.22–66.79safer31.39–48.3151.55–68.47
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction341522864safe274–408456–589730–997safer256–427438–606694–1033
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction78.0385.87safe74.00–82.0681.55–90.20safer72.71–83.3580.24–91.51
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4612.7726.22safe10.62–16.299.82–15.7120.44–32.00safer9.86–17.059.07–16.4618.93–33.51
Offsides
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.582.92safe0.18–2.500.48–2.670.66–5.17safer0.00–2.800.20–2.960.07–5.76
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.843.83safe0.94–3.040.71–2.971.65–6.01safer0.67–3.300.42–3.261.10–6.57
Red cards
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.100.27safe0.01–0.330.00–0.280.00–0.62safer0.00–0.480.00–0.420.00–0.90
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.495.81safe1.88–4.750.94–4.052.82–8.80safer1.49–5.140.51–4.482.01–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.50 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 25% 26% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.62 1.76–5.49 1.27–5.98 | 5.01 3.27–6.75 2.80–7.22 | 8.63 5.03–12.24 4.07–13.19 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 11.76 7.84–15.69 6.75–16.78 | 14.52 10.96–18.08 10.00–19.04 | 26.29 18.80–33.77 16.75–35.82 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 6.91 3.97–9.86 3.14–10.69 | 9.19 6.51–11.87 5.77–12.61 | 16.11 10.48–21.73 8.92–23.30 | 24% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.24–5.00 0.69–5.54 | 3.79 2.14–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 6.91 3.38–10.45 2.34–11.48 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.41 2.20–6.62 1.62–7.20 | 5.35 3.35–7.35 2.81–7.88 | 9.76 5.54–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 32% 55% |
| Possession % | 39.85 33.06–46.64 31.39–48.31 | 60.01 53.22–66.79 51.55–68.47 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 341 274–408 256–427 | 522 456–589 438–606 | 864 730–997 694–1033 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.03 74.00–82.06 72.71–83.35 | 85.87 81.55–90.20 80.24–91.51 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 13.46 10.62–16.29 9.86–17.05 | 12.77 9.82–15.71 9.07–16.46 | 26.22 20.44–32.00 18.93–33.51 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.34 0.18–2.50 0.00–2.80 | 1.58 0.48–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 2.92 0.66–5.17 0.07–5.76 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 14% 78% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 2.49 0.94–4.05 0.51–4.48 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.01–9.61 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

