Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.872.97safe0.13–2.071.01–2.721.15–4.79safer0.00–2.320.79–2.950.67–5.27
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.515.378.88safe1.65–5.383.63–7.115.28–12.49safer1.16–5.863.16–7.584.32–13.44
Total shots
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3914.2025.59safe7.47–15.3210.64–17.7718.11–33.08safer6.37–16.419.68–18.7316.06–35.13
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.158.5115.66safe4.21–10.105.83–11.1910.04–21.29safer3.38–10.925.09–11.938.47–22.85
Blocked shots
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.886.61safe0.85–4.622.23–5.533.08–10.15safer0.31–5.161.73–6.022.04–11.18
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.955.439.38safe1.73–6.163.43–7.435.17–13.59safer1.16–6.732.90–7.974.06–14.70
Possession %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction41.9657.45safe35.17–48.7650.67–64.24safer33.50–50.4249.00–65.91
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction375503878safe308–442437–570744–1012safer289–460419–587709–1047
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction79.7586.38safe75.73–83.7882.05–90.70safer74.43–85.0880.74–92.01
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3813.9025.28safe8.54–14.2210.95–16.8419.49–31.06safer7.79–14.9710.20–17.5917.99–32.56
Offsides
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.242.98safe0.58–2.900.15–2.340.73–5.24safer0.28–3.200.00–2.620.14–5.83
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.183.99safe0.76–2.861.05–3.311.81–6.17safer0.49–3.120.76–3.601.25–6.73
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.622.516.13safe2.18–5.060.95–4.063.13–9.12safer1.80–5.440.53–4.492.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.87 1.01–2.72 0.79–2.95 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.51 1.65–5.38 1.16–5.86 | 5.37 3.63–7.11 3.16–7.58 | 8.88 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.44 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.39 7.47–15.32 6.37–16.41 | 14.20 10.64–17.77 9.68–18.73 | 25.59 18.11–33.08 16.06–35.13 | 26% 68% |
| Shots in box | 7.15 4.21–10.10 3.38–10.92 | 8.51 5.83–11.19 5.09–11.93 | 15.66 10.04–21.29 8.47–22.85 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 0.85–4.62 0.31–5.16 | 3.88 2.23–5.53 1.73–6.02 | 6.61 3.08–10.15 2.04–11.18 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Corners | 3.95 1.73–6.16 1.16–6.73 | 5.43 3.43–7.43 2.90–7.97 | 9.38 5.17–13.59 4.06–14.70 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 41.96 35.17–48.76 33.50–50.42 | 57.45 50.67–64.24 49.00–65.91 | — | 16% 80% |
| Passes | 375 308–442 289–460 | 503 437–570 419–587 | 878 744–1012 709–1047 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.75 75.73–83.78 74.43–85.08 | 86.38 82.05–90.70 80.74–92.01 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.38 8.54–14.22 7.79–14.97 | 13.90 10.95–16.84 10.20–17.59 | 25.28 19.49–31.06 17.99–32.56 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.24 0.15–2.34 0.00–2.62 | 2.98 0.73–5.24 0.14–5.83 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.99 1.81–6.17 1.25–6.73 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.62 2.18–5.06 1.80–5.44 | 2.51 0.95–4.06 0.53–4.49 | 6.13 3.13–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 60% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.