Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.182.45safe0.30–2.230.33–2.040.62–4.27safer0.05–2.480.10–2.260.14–4.75
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.293.838.12safe2.42–6.152.09–5.574.51–11.72safer1.93–6.641.62–6.043.56–12.68
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7811.5624.34safe8.85–16.708.00–15.1216.85–31.82safer7.76–17.797.04–16.0814.80–33.87
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.537.9616.48safe5.59–11.475.27–10.6410.86–22.11safer4.76–12.304.54–11.379.29–23.67
Blocked shots
52%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.896.40safe1.62–5.391.24–4.552.87–9.94safer1.08–5.930.75–5.041.83–10.97
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.519.22safe2.49–6.922.51–6.515.00–13.43safer1.92–7.501.98–7.043.90–14.54
Possession %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction54.7745.65safe47.98–61.5638.86–52.43safer46.31–63.2337.19–54.10
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction443365808safe376–510299–432675–942safer358–529281–449639–978
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction82.6880.08safe78.65–86.7175.76–84.41safer77.36–88.0074.45–85.72
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4812.5326.00safe10.64–16.319.58–15.4720.22–31.78safer9.88–17.078.83–16.2218.71–33.29
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.613.19safe0.43–2.750.51–2.700.94–5.45safer0.13–3.050.22–2.990.35–6.04
Yellow cards
40%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.234.47safe1.19–3.291.10–3.362.29–6.65safer0.92–3.560.81–3.651.73–7.20
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.552.995.54safe1.11–3.991.43–4.552.55–8.53safer0.73–4.371.01–4.971.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.48 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.26 | 2.45 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.75 | 38% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.29 2.42–6.15 1.93–6.64 | 3.83 2.09–5.57 1.62–6.04 | 8.12 4.51–11.72 3.56–12.68 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 12.78 8.85–16.70 7.76–17.79 | 11.56 8.00–15.12 7.04–16.08 | 24.34 16.85–31.82 14.80–33.87 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.53 5.59–11.47 4.76–12.30 | 7.96 5.27–10.64 4.54–11.37 | 16.48 10.86–22.11 9.29–23.67 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.62–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 2.89 1.24–4.55 0.75–5.04 | 6.40 2.87–9.94 1.83–10.97 | 52% 16% 33% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.49–6.92 1.92–7.50 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 9.22 5.00–13.43 3.90–14.54 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 54.77 47.98–61.56 46.31–63.23 | 45.65 38.86–52.43 37.19–54.10 | — | 68% 27% |
| Passes | 443 376–510 358–529 | 365 299–432 281–449 | 808 675–942 639–978 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.68 78.65–86.71 77.36–88.00 | 80.08 75.76–84.41 74.45–85.72 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 13.48 10.64–16.31 9.88–17.07 | 12.53 9.58–15.47 8.83–16.22 | 26.00 20.22–31.78 18.71–33.29 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.61 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.99 | 3.19 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.92–3.56 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.47 2.29–6.65 1.73–7.20 | 40% 19% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.99 0.73–4.37 | 2.99 1.43–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 5.54 2.55–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.