Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.123.24safe1.15–3.090.27–1.981.42–5.06safer0.90–3.340.04–2.200.94–5.54
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.733.8910.62safe4.87–8.592.15–5.647.02–14.23safer4.38–9.081.69–6.106.06–15.18
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction18.3210.4328.75safe14.39–22.246.86–13.9921.26–36.23safer13.30–23.345.90–14.9519.21–38.28
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.386.9818.36safe8.44–14.334.29–9.6612.74–23.98safer7.61–15.163.56–10.3911.17–25.55
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.572.697.26safe2.69–6.451.03–4.343.72–10.79safer2.15–7.000.54–4.832.69–11.83
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.604.1010.70safe4.39–8.822.10–6.106.49–14.92safer3.82–9.391.57–6.635.38–16.02
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.5934.93safe58.80–72.3828.15–41.72safer57.13–74.0526.48–43.39
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction506257763safe438–573191–324629–897safer420–591173–341594–932
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction81.1668.02safe77.13–85.1963.69–72.34safer75.84–86.4962.38–73.65
Fouls
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0414.9124.95safe7.21–12.8811.96–17.8519.17–30.74safer6.45–13.6411.22–18.6017.67–32.24
Offsides
28%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.344.02safe0.52–2.841.25–3.431.76–6.27safer0.22–3.140.96–3.721.17–6.86
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.324.10safe0.73–2.831.19–3.451.92–6.28safer0.46–3.090.90–3.741.37–6.84
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.554.236.78safe1.12–3.992.67–5.793.79–9.78safer0.73–4.382.25–6.212.98–10.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.15–3.09 0.90–3.34 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.20 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 60% 20% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.73 4.87–8.59 4.38–9.08 | 3.89 2.15–5.64 1.69–6.10 | 10.62 7.02–14.23 6.06–15.18 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 18.32 14.39–22.24 13.30–23.34 | 10.43 6.86–13.99 5.90–14.95 | 28.75 21.26–36.23 19.21–38.28 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.38 8.44–14.33 7.61–15.16 | 6.98 4.29–9.66 3.56–10.39 | 18.36 12.74–23.98 11.17–25.55 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.15–7.00 | 2.69 1.03–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 7.26 3.72–10.79 2.69–11.83 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.60 4.39–8.82 3.82–9.39 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.63 | 10.70 6.49–14.92 5.38–16.02 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 65.59 58.80–72.38 57.13–74.05 | 34.93 28.15–41.72 26.48–43.39 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 506 438–573 420–591 | 257 191–324 173–341 | 763 629–897 594–932 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.16 77.13–85.19 75.84–86.49 | 68.02 63.69–72.34 62.38–73.65 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.04 7.21–12.88 6.45–13.64 | 14.91 11.96–17.85 11.22–18.60 | 24.95 19.17–30.74 17.67–32.24 | 14% 81% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 2.34 1.25–3.43 0.96–3.72 | 4.02 1.76–6.27 1.17–6.86 | 28% 20% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 4.23 2.67–5.79 2.25–6.21 | 6.78 3.79–9.78 2.98–10.59 | 20% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.