Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.292.63safe0.37–2.310.43–2.140.80–4.45safer0.12–2.560.20–2.370.32–4.93
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.154.018.16safe2.28–6.012.27–5.754.55–11.76safer1.79–6.501.80–6.223.60–12.72
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4012.2324.63safe8.47–16.328.67–15.8017.14–32.12safer7.38–17.417.71–16.7615.09–34.17
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.297.4715.76safe5.35–11.244.79–10.1510.14–21.38safer4.52–12.074.05–10.898.57–22.95
Blocked shots
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.376.55safe1.30–5.061.71–5.023.01–10.08safer0.76–5.611.22–5.511.98–11.12
Corners
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.329.03safe2.50–6.932.32–6.324.82–13.25safer1.93–7.511.78–6.853.71–14.36
Possession %
45%
51%
homeawayprediction49.4150.74safe42.62–56.2043.96–57.53safer40.95–57.8742.29–59.20
Passes
45%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction407421828safe340–475354–487694–962safer322–493337–505659–997
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction79.7081.11safe75.67–83.7376.79–85.44safer74.38–85.0275.48–86.75
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4313.7825.22safe8.59–14.2710.84–16.7319.43–31.00safer7.84–15.0310.09–17.4817.93–32.50
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.703.31safe0.44–2.760.61–2.791.05–5.56safer0.14–3.070.32–3.080.46–6.15
Yellow cards
36%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.222.504.72safe1.17–3.271.37–3.632.54–6.90safer0.90–3.541.08–3.921.98–7.45
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.140.22safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.460.00–0.85
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.892.795.68safe1.45–4.321.24–4.352.69–8.67safer1.06–4.710.81–4.781.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.63 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.15 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.50 | 4.01 2.27–5.75 1.80–6.22 | 8.16 4.55–11.76 3.60–12.72 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.40 8.47–16.32 7.38–17.41 | 12.23 8.67–15.80 7.71–16.76 | 24.63 17.14–32.12 15.09–34.17 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.29 5.35–11.24 4.52–12.07 | 7.47 4.79–10.15 4.05–10.89 | 15.76 10.14–21.38 8.57–22.95 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.18 1.30–5.06 0.76–5.61 | 3.37 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 6.55 3.01–10.08 1.98–11.12 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.50–6.93 1.93–7.51 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.78–6.85 | 9.03 4.82–13.25 3.71–14.36 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Possession % | 49.41 42.62–56.20 40.95–57.87 | 50.74 43.96–57.53 42.29–59.20 | — | 45% 51% |
| Passes | 407 340–475 322–493 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 828 694–962 659–997 | 45% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.70 75.67–83.73 74.38–85.02 | 81.11 76.79–85.44 75.48–86.75 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.43 8.59–14.27 7.84–15.03 | 13.78 10.84–16.73 10.09–17.48 | 25.22 19.43–31.00 17.93–32.50 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.07 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.22 1.17–3.27 0.90–3.54 | 2.50 1.37–3.63 1.08–3.92 | 4.72 2.54–6.90 1.98–7.45 | 36% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 2.79 1.24–4.35 0.81–4.78 | 5.68 2.69–8.67 1.88–9.49 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+