Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.393.04safe0.68–2.620.54–2.241.22–4.86safer0.43–2.870.31–2.470.74–5.34
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.499.84safe3.48–7.212.75–6.246.24–13.45safer2.99–7.702.29–6.705.28–14.40
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7412.6527.39safe10.81–18.669.09–16.2219.91–34.88safer9.72–19.768.13–17.1817.86–36.93
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.008.2617.26safe6.06–11.945.58–10.9411.63–22.88safer5.23–12.774.84–11.6710.07–24.45
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.196.71safe1.65–5.411.53–4.843.18–10.25safer1.10–5.951.04–5.332.14–11.28
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.144.439.56safe2.92–7.352.43–6.435.35–13.78safer2.35–7.921.89–6.964.24–14.88
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.4947.51safe46.70–60.2840.72–54.29safer45.03–61.9539.05–55.96
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction442402844safe375–510336–468711–978safer357–528318–486675–1014
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction83.7781.05safe79.74–87.8076.72–85.37safer78.45–89.1075.41–86.68
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7311.4825.21safe10.89–16.568.54–14.4319.43–30.99safer10.13–17.327.79–15.1817.92–32.50
Offsides
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.854.05safe1.04–3.360.75–2.941.80–6.30safer0.74–3.660.47–3.231.21–6.89
Yellow cards
38%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.074.07safe0.95–3.050.94–3.201.89–6.25safer0.69–3.320.65–3.491.34–6.81
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.406.29safe1.46–4.331.84–4.953.30–9.29safer1.07–4.721.42–5.382.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.39 0.54–2.24 0.31–2.47 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.48–7.21 2.99–7.70 | 4.49 2.75–6.24 2.29–6.70 | 9.84 6.24–13.45 5.28–14.40 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.74 10.81–18.66 9.72–19.76 | 12.65 9.09–16.22 8.13–17.18 | 27.39 19.91–34.88 17.86–36.93 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.00 6.06–11.94 5.23–12.77 | 8.26 5.58–10.94 4.84–11.67 | 17.26 11.63–22.88 10.07–24.45 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 3.19 1.53–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 6.71 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.28 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.92–7.35 2.35–7.92 | 4.43 2.43–6.43 1.89–6.96 | 9.56 5.35–13.78 4.24–14.88 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 53.49 46.70–60.28 45.03–61.95 | 47.51 40.72–54.29 39.05–55.96 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 442 375–510 357–528 | 402 336–468 318–486 | 844 711–978 675–1014 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.77 79.74–87.80 78.45–89.10 | 81.05 76.72–85.37 75.41–86.68 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 13.73 10.89–16.56 10.13–17.32 | 11.48 8.54–14.43 7.79–15.18 | 25.21 19.43–30.99 17.92–32.50 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.20 1.04–3.36 0.74–3.66 | 1.85 0.75–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 4.05 1.80–6.30 1.21–6.89 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.34–6.81 | 38% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 3.40 1.84–4.95 1.42–5.38 | 6.29 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.