Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.422.88safe0.49–2.430.56–2.271.05–4.70safer0.24–2.680.33–2.500.57–5.18
Shots on target
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.364.049.40safe3.50–7.222.30–5.785.79–13.00safer3.01–7.711.83–6.254.84–13.96
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3912.0526.43safe10.46–18.318.48–15.6118.94–33.92safer9.37–19.407.52–16.5716.89–35.97
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.767.5316.29safe5.82–11.704.85–10.2210.67–21.92safer4.99–12.534.12–10.959.10–23.48
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.167.07safe2.03–5.791.51–4.823.54–10.61safer1.48–6.331.02–5.312.50–11.64
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.449.45safe2.79–7.222.44–6.445.24–13.66safer2.22–7.791.91–6.984.13–14.77
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction51.9547.49safe45.16–58.7440.71–54.28safer43.49–60.4139.03–55.95
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction399371769safe331–466304–437636–903safer313–484287–455600–939
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction82.7280.84safe78.69–86.7576.52–85.17safer77.40–88.0475.21–86.48
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9014.9127.81safe10.06–15.7411.97–17.8622.03–33.59safer9.31–16.4911.22–18.6020.52–35.10
Offsides
20%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.232.233.47safe0.07–2.391.14–3.331.21–5.72safer0.00–2.690.85–3.610.62–6.31
Yellow cards
34%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.314.27safe0.91–3.011.18–3.432.09–6.45safer0.65–3.280.89–3.731.53–7.00
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.756.38safe1.20–4.072.19–5.313.39–9.37safer0.81–4.461.77–5.732.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.22 3.01–7.71 | 4.04 2.30–5.78 1.83–6.25 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.84–13.96 | 60% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.39 10.46–18.31 9.37–19.40 | 12.05 8.48–15.61 7.52–16.57 | 26.43 18.94–33.92 16.89–35.97 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.76 5.82–11.70 4.99–12.53 | 7.53 4.85–10.22 4.12–10.95 | 16.29 10.67–21.92 9.10–23.48 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 3.16 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.79–7.22 2.22–7.79 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.91–6.98 | 9.45 5.24–13.66 4.13–14.77 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.95 45.16–58.74 43.49–60.41 | 47.49 40.71–54.28 39.03–55.95 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 399 331–466 313–484 | 371 304–437 287–455 | 769 636–903 600–939 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.72 78.69–86.75 77.40–88.04 | 80.84 76.52–85.17 75.21–86.48 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 12.90 10.06–15.74 9.31–16.49 | 14.91 11.97–17.86 11.22–18.60 | 27.81 22.03–33.59 20.52–35.10 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.23 0.07–2.39 0.00–2.69 | 2.23 1.14–3.33 0.85–3.61 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 2.31 1.18–3.43 0.89–3.73 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.53–7.00 | 34% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.75 2.19–5.31 1.77–5.73 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.58–10.19 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.