Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.290.983.27safe1.32–3.260.12–1.831.44–5.09safer1.07–3.510.00–2.060.96–5.57
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.413.249.65safe4.54–8.271.50–4.996.04–13.25safer4.05–8.761.04–5.455.09–14.21
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.689.6427.31safe13.75–21.606.07–13.2019.83–34.80safer12.66–22.695.11–14.1617.78–36.85
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.105.8917.98safe9.15–15.043.20–8.5712.36–23.61safer8.32–15.872.47–9.3010.79–25.17
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.322.476.79safe2.43–6.200.82–4.133.26–10.33safer1.89–6.740.33–4.622.22–11.36
Corners
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.173.559.71safe3.96–8.381.55–5.555.50–13.93safer3.38–8.961.01–6.084.39–15.04
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.7944.72safe49.00–62.5837.94–51.51safer47.33–64.2536.26–53.18
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction509395904safe442–577328–461771–1038safer424–595311–479735–1074
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction82.5580.10safe78.52–86.5875.77–84.42safer77.23–87.8874.46–85.73
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1012.4524.56safe9.27–14.949.51–15.4018.77–30.34safer8.51–15.708.76–16.1517.27–31.84
Offsides
70%
15%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction3.111.454.57safe1.95–4.270.36–2.552.31–6.82safer1.65–4.570.07–2.841.72–7.41
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.023.49safe0.42–2.520.89–3.151.31–5.67safer0.15–2.780.60–3.440.75–6.23
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.946.20safe0.82–3.692.39–5.503.21–9.19safer0.43–4.081.96–5.922.40–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.29 1.32–3.26 1.07–3.51 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 3.27 1.44–5.09 0.96–5.57 | 67% 18% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.41 4.54–8.27 4.05–8.76 | 3.24 1.50–4.99 1.04–5.45 | 9.65 6.04–13.25 5.09–14.21 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.68 13.75–21.60 12.66–22.69 | 9.64 6.07–13.20 5.11–14.16 | 27.31 19.83–34.80 17.78–36.85 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.10 9.15–15.04 8.32–15.87 | 5.89 3.20–8.57 2.47–9.30 | 17.98 12.36–23.61 10.79–25.17 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.43–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 2.47 0.82–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 6.79 3.26–10.33 2.22–11.36 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.17 3.96–8.38 3.38–8.96 | 3.55 1.55–5.55 1.01–6.08 | 9.71 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.04 | 75% 15% |
| Possession % | 55.79 49.00–62.58 47.33–64.25 | 44.72 37.94–51.51 36.26–53.18 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 509 442–577 424–595 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.55 78.52–86.58 77.23–87.88 | 80.10 75.77–84.42 74.46–85.73 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.27–14.94 8.51–15.70 | 12.45 9.51–15.40 8.76–16.15 | 24.56 18.77–30.34 17.27–31.84 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 3.11 1.95–4.27 1.65–4.57 | 1.45 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.84 | 4.57 2.31–6.82 1.72–7.41 | 70% 15% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.23 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 3.94 2.39–5.50 1.96–5.92 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.40–10.00 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.