Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.472.69safe0.25–2.190.61–2.320.86–4.51safer0.00–2.440.38–2.550.38–4.99
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.174.218.39safe2.31–6.042.47–5.964.78–11.99safer1.82–6.532.01–6.423.83–12.95
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4013.3226.72safe9.47–17.329.76–16.8919.23–34.21safer8.38–18.418.80–17.8417.18–36.26
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.538.7817.31safe5.59–11.476.10–11.4611.68–22.93safer4.76–12.305.36–12.2010.12–24.50
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.403.486.88safe1.52–5.281.83–5.133.34–10.41safer0.98–5.831.33–5.622.31–11.45
Corners
42%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.799.50safe2.50–6.922.79–6.795.28–13.71safer1.92–7.502.25–7.324.17–14.82
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction47.7351.75safe40.94–54.5244.96–58.53safer39.27–56.1943.29–60.20
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction386410796safe319–453344–477662–930safer300–471326–494627–965
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction81.3282.18safe77.29–85.3577.85–86.50safer76.00–86.6476.55–87.81
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1514.5326.68safe9.31–14.9911.58–17.4720.90–32.46safer8.56–15.7410.83–18.2219.39–33.96
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.302.92safe0.46–2.780.21–2.390.67–5.18safer0.16–3.080.00–2.680.08–5.77
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.464.73safe1.23–3.331.33–3.592.56–6.91safer0.96–3.591.04–3.882.00–7.47
Red cards
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.160.29safe0.00–0.290.00–0.350.00–0.64safer0.00–0.440.00–0.480.00–0.92
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.022.925.94safe1.59–4.461.36–4.472.95–8.93safer1.20–4.850.94–4.902.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.69 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 32% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.04 1.82–6.53 | 4.21 2.47–5.96 2.01–6.42 | 8.39 4.78–11.99 3.83–12.95 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.40 9.47–17.32 8.38–18.41 | 13.32 9.76–16.89 8.80–17.84 | 26.72 19.23–34.21 17.18–36.26 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.53 5.59–11.47 4.76–12.30 | 8.78 6.10–11.46 5.36–12.20 | 17.31 11.68–22.93 10.12–24.50 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.52–5.28 0.98–5.83 | 3.48 1.83–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 6.88 3.34–10.41 2.31–11.45 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.50–6.92 1.92–7.50 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.25–7.32 | 9.50 5.28–13.71 4.17–14.82 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 47.73 40.94–54.52 39.27–56.19 | 51.75 44.96–58.53 43.29–60.20 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 386 319–453 300–471 | 410 344–477 326–494 | 796 662–930 627–965 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.32 77.29–85.35 76.00–86.64 | 82.18 77.85–86.50 76.55–87.81 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.31–14.99 8.56–15.74 | 14.53 11.58–17.47 10.83–18.22 | 26.68 20.90–32.46 19.39–33.96 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.30 0.21–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.92 0.67–5.18 0.08–5.77 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.96–3.59 | 2.46 1.33–3.59 1.04–3.88 | 4.73 2.56–6.91 2.00–7.47 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% 13% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.