Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.162.62safe0.49–2.420.31–2.020.80–4.44safer0.24–2.680.08–2.250.32–4.92
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.644.218.85safe2.78–6.502.47–5.965.25–12.46safer2.29–6.992.01–6.424.29–13.41
Total shots
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2113.2127.42safe10.29–18.149.65–16.7719.94–34.91safer9.20–19.238.69–17.7317.89–36.96
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.877.7317.60safe6.93–12.825.04–10.4111.98–23.22safer6.10–13.654.31–11.1410.41–24.79
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.747.30safe1.68–5.442.09–5.393.76–10.83safer1.13–5.981.59–5.882.73–11.87
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.8710.34safe3.27–7.692.87–6.876.13–14.56safer2.69–8.272.33–7.405.02–15.67
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction44.9554.35safe38.16–51.7447.56–61.13safer36.49–53.4145.89–62.80
Passes
28%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction334402736safe267–401336–469603–870safer249–419318–486567–906
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction73.0278.26safe68.99–77.0573.94–82.58safer67.70–78.3472.63–83.89
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3612.2925.66safe10.53–16.209.35–15.2419.87–31.44safer9.77–16.968.60–15.9918.37–32.94
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.453.45safe0.84–3.160.36–2.541.20–5.71safer0.54–3.460.07–2.830.61–6.29
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.044.31safe1.22–3.320.91–3.172.13–6.49safer0.95–3.580.62–3.461.58–7.05
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.075.73safe1.23–4.101.52–4.632.74–8.73safer0.84–4.491.09–5.051.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.42 0.24–2.68 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.78–6.50 2.29–6.99 | 4.21 2.47–5.96 2.01–6.42 | 8.85 5.25–12.46 4.29–13.41 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.21 10.29–18.14 9.20–19.23 | 13.21 9.65–16.77 8.69–17.73 | 27.42 19.94–34.91 17.89–36.96 | 54% 39% |
| Shots in box | 9.87 6.93–12.82 6.10–13.65 | 7.73 5.04–10.41 4.31–11.14 | 17.60 11.98–23.22 10.41–24.79 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 3.74 2.09–5.39 1.59–5.88 | 7.30 3.76–10.83 2.73–11.87 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.27–7.69 2.69–8.27 | 4.87 2.87–6.87 2.33–7.40 | 10.34 6.13–14.56 5.02–15.67 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 44.95 38.16–51.74 36.49–53.41 | 54.35 47.56–61.13 45.89–62.80 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 334 267–401 249–419 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 736 603–870 567–906 | 28% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.02 68.99–77.05 67.70–78.34 | 78.26 73.94–82.58 72.63–83.89 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 13.36 10.53–16.20 9.77–16.96 | 12.29 9.35–15.24 8.60–15.99 | 25.66 19.87–31.44 18.37–32.94 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.45 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.29 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.95–3.58 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.58–7.05 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 3.07 1.52–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 5.73 2.74–8.73 1.93–9.54 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+