Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
27%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.400.912.31safe0.43–2.370.05–1.760.49–4.13safer0.18–2.620.00–1.990.01–4.61
Shots on target
62%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.403.037.43safe2.54–6.261.28–4.773.82–11.03safer2.05–6.750.82–5.232.87–11.99
Total shots
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8310.2624.09safe9.91–17.766.69–13.8216.60–31.58safer8.82–18.855.74–14.7814.55–33.63
Shots in box
75%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction8.775.7014.47safe5.83–11.713.02–8.388.85–20.10safer5.00–12.542.28–9.127.28–21.66
Blocked shots
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.746.25safe1.63–5.391.08–4.392.71–9.78safer1.08–5.940.59–4.881.68–10.82
Corners
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.203.839.04safe2.99–7.421.83–5.834.82–13.25safer2.42–7.991.30–6.363.72–14.36
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.6042.60safe50.81–64.3935.81–49.38safer49.14–66.0634.14–51.05
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction516386902safe449–583319–452768–1035safer431–601302–470732–1071
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction86.2980.60safe82.26–90.3276.27–84.92safer80.96–91.6174.96–86.23
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3112.8225.13safe9.47–15.159.87–15.7619.35–30.91safer8.72–15.909.13–16.5117.84–32.42
Offsides
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.142.83safe0.53–2.850.05–2.240.58–5.08safer0.23–3.150.00–2.520.00–5.67
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.913.75safe0.79–2.890.78–3.041.57–5.93safer0.52–3.150.49–3.331.01–6.49
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.025.41safe0.95–3.831.47–4.582.42–8.40safer0.57–4.211.04–5.001.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.31 0.49–4.13 0.01–4.61 | 48% 27% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.26 2.05–6.75 | 3.03 1.28–4.77 0.82–5.23 | 7.43 3.82–11.03 2.87–11.99 | 62% 13% 24% |
| Total shots | 13.83 9.91–17.76 8.82–18.85 | 10.26 6.69–13.82 5.74–14.78 | 24.09 16.60–31.58 14.55–33.63 | 73% 20% |
| Shots in box | 8.77 5.83–11.71 5.00–12.54 | 5.70 3.02–8.38 2.28–9.12 | 14.47 8.85–20.10 7.28–21.66 | 75% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.08–5.94 | 2.74 1.08–4.39 0.59–4.88 | 6.25 2.71–9.78 1.68–10.82 | 54% 16% 30% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.99–7.42 2.42–7.99 | 3.83 1.83–5.83 1.30–6.36 | 9.04 4.82–13.25 3.72–14.36 | 61% 26% |
| Possession % | 57.60 50.81–64.39 49.14–66.06 | 42.60 35.81–49.38 34.14–51.05 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 516 449–583 431–601 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 902 768–1035 732–1071 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.29 82.26–90.32 80.96–91.61 | 80.60 76.27–84.92 74.96–86.23 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 12.31 9.47–15.15 8.72–15.90 | 12.82 9.87–15.76 9.13–16.51 | 25.13 19.35–30.91 17.84–32.42 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.14 0.05–2.24 0.00–2.52 | 2.83 0.58–5.08 0.00–5.67 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.01–6.49 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.83 0.57–4.21 | 3.02 1.47–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 5.41 2.42–8.40 1.61–9.22 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

