Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.002.573.57safe0.03–1.961.72–3.431.75–5.39safer0.00–2.221.49–3.661.27–5.87
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.576.329.89safe1.71–5.434.58–8.066.29–13.50safer1.22–5.924.11–8.535.33–14.45
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9417.1828.12safe7.02–14.8713.61–20.7420.63–35.60safer5.92–15.9612.65–21.7018.58–37.65
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5011.9618.46safe3.56–9.449.28–14.6412.84–24.08safer2.73–10.278.54–15.3811.27–25.65
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.124.898.01safe1.23–5.003.24–6.544.47–11.54safer0.69–5.542.74–7.043.44–12.58
Corners
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.745.829.56safe1.52–5.953.82–7.825.34–13.77safer0.95–6.523.29–8.354.24–14.88
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction45.4955.69safe38.70–52.2848.91–62.48safer37.03–53.9547.23–64.15
Passes
21%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction360454813safe292–427387–520680–947safer274–445370–538644–983
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction79.7183.81safe75.68–83.7479.49–88.13safer74.39–85.0378.18–89.44
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5212.6424.16safe8.68–14.369.69–15.5818.37–29.94safer7.92–15.118.94–16.3316.87–31.44
Offsides
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.541.704.25safe1.38–3.700.61–2.791.99–6.50safer1.08–4.010.32–3.081.40–7.09
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.923.91safe0.94–3.030.80–3.051.73–6.09safer0.67–3.300.50–3.341.17–6.65
Red cards
13%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.100.25safe0.00–0.320.00–0.280.00–0.60safer0.00–0.470.00–0.420.00–0.88
GK saves
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.202.706.89safe2.76–5.631.14–4.253.90–9.89safer2.37–6.020.72–4.683.09–10.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.96 0.00–2.22 | 2.57 1.72–3.43 1.49–3.66 | 3.57 1.75–5.39 1.27–5.87 | 16% 71% |
| Shots on target | 3.57 1.71–5.43 1.22–5.92 | 6.32 4.58–8.06 4.11–8.53 | 9.89 6.29–13.50 5.33–14.45 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 10.94 7.02–14.87 5.92–15.96 | 17.18 13.61–20.74 12.65–21.70 | 28.12 20.63–35.60 18.58–37.65 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 6.50 3.56–9.44 2.73–10.27 | 11.96 9.28–14.64 8.54–15.38 | 18.46 12.84–24.08 11.27–25.65 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.23–5.00 0.69–5.54 | 4.89 3.24–6.54 2.74–7.04 | 8.01 4.47–11.54 3.44–12.58 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 3.74 1.52–5.95 0.95–6.52 | 5.82 3.82–7.82 3.29–8.35 | 9.56 5.34–13.77 4.24–14.88 | 20% 70% |
| Possession % | 45.49 38.70–52.28 37.03–53.95 | 55.69 48.91–62.48 47.23–64.15 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 360 292–427 274–445 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 813 680–947 644–983 | 21% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.71 75.68–83.74 74.39–85.03 | 83.81 79.49–88.13 78.18–89.44 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.52 8.68–14.36 7.92–15.11 | 12.64 9.69–15.58 8.94–16.33 | 24.16 18.37–29.94 16.87–31.44 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.54 1.38–3.70 1.08–4.01 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 4.25 1.99–6.50 1.40–7.09 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.03 0.67–3.30 | 1.92 0.80–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.17–6.65 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 13% 79% |
| GK saves | 4.20 2.76–5.63 2.37–6.02 | 2.70 1.14–4.25 0.72–4.68 | 6.89 3.90–9.89 3.09–10.70 | 65% 13% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+