Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.243.02safe0.81–2.750.39–2.101.20–4.85safer0.56–3.000.16–2.320.72–5.33
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.009.18safe3.32–7.042.26–5.745.58–12.79safer2.83–7.531.79–6.214.62–13.74
Total shots
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9411.2326.16safe11.01–18.867.66–14.7918.68–33.65safer9.92–19.956.71–15.7516.62–35.70
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.996.7216.71safe7.05–12.934.04–9.4011.09–22.34safer6.22–13.763.30–10.149.52–23.90
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.946.87safe2.05–5.811.29–4.603.34–10.41safer1.50–6.360.80–5.092.30–11.44
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.463.969.42safe3.24–7.671.96–5.965.20–13.63safer2.67–8.241.43–6.494.09–14.74
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction55.8144.15safe49.02–62.6037.37–50.94safer47.35–64.2735.70–52.61
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction482382864safe415–549316–449731–998safer397–567298–466695–1034
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction85.5083.09safe81.47–89.5378.77–87.42safer80.17–90.8277.46–88.73
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7812.9024.69safe8.95–14.629.96–15.8518.90–30.47safer8.19–15.389.21–16.6017.40–31.97
Offsides
19%
18%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.584.00safe0.25–2.571.49–3.681.74–6.25safer0.00–2.871.20–3.971.15–6.84
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.053.72safe0.62–2.720.92–3.181.54–5.90safer0.35–2.980.63–3.470.98–6.46
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.636.33safe1.26–4.132.08–5.193.33–9.32safer0.87–4.521.65–5.612.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.75 0.56–3.00 | 1.24 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.32 | 3.02 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.18 3.32–7.04 2.83–7.53 | 4.00 2.26–5.74 1.79–6.21 | 9.18 5.58–12.79 4.62–13.74 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.94 11.01–18.86 9.92–19.95 | 11.23 7.66–14.79 6.71–15.75 | 26.16 18.68–33.65 16.62–35.70 | 73% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.99 7.05–12.93 6.22–13.76 | 6.72 4.04–9.40 3.30–10.14 | 16.71 11.09–22.34 9.52–23.90 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.81 1.50–6.36 | 2.94 1.29–4.60 0.80–5.09 | 6.87 3.34–10.41 2.30–11.44 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.24–7.67 2.67–8.24 | 3.96 1.96–5.96 1.43–6.49 | 9.42 5.20–13.63 4.09–14.74 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 55.81 49.02–62.60 47.35–64.27 | 44.15 37.37–50.94 35.70–52.61 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 482 415–549 397–567 | 382 316–449 298–466 | 864 731–998 695–1034 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.50 81.47–89.53 80.17–90.82 | 83.09 78.77–87.42 77.46–88.73 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.95–14.62 8.19–15.38 | 12.90 9.96–15.85 9.21–16.60 | 24.69 18.90–30.47 17.40–31.97 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 2.58 1.49–3.68 1.20–3.97 | 4.00 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 19% 18% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.98–6.46 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.63 2.08–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 6.33 3.33–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.