Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.400.863.26safe1.44–3.370.00–1.711.44–5.08safer1.18–3.620.00–1.940.96–5.56
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.772.979.74safe4.91–8.631.23–4.716.14–13.35safer4.42–9.120.76–5.185.18–14.30
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.248.6627.90safe15.32–23.175.10–12.2220.42–35.39safer14.23–24.264.14–13.1818.36–37.44
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.384.8417.22safe9.44–15.322.16–7.5211.60–22.84safer8.61–16.151.42–8.2610.03–24.41
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.531.947.47safe3.65–7.410.28–3.593.93–11.00safer3.10–7.960.00–4.082.90–12.04
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.113.1110.22safe4.90–9.321.11–5.116.01–14.43safer4.32–9.900.58–5.644.90–15.54
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.6537.13safe56.86–70.4430.34–43.91safer55.19–72.1128.67–45.58
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction563336899safe496–630269–402765–1032safer478–648252–420729–1068
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction85.9075.14safe81.87–89.9370.82–79.47safer80.58–91.2269.51–80.78
Fouls
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7312.6226.35safe10.89–16.569.68–15.5720.57–32.13safer10.13–17.328.93–16.3219.06–33.64
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.813.45safe0.47–2.790.72–2.911.19–5.70safer0.17–3.090.43–3.200.60–6.29
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.413.99safe0.53–2.631.29–3.541.81–6.17safer0.26–2.890.99–3.831.26–6.73
Red cards
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.160.24safe0.00–0.230.00–0.350.00–0.58safer0.00–0.380.00–0.480.00–0.87
GK saves
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.084.346.42safe0.64–3.512.78–5.903.43–9.41safer0.26–3.902.36–6.322.62–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.44–3.37 1.18–3.62 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.77 4.91–8.63 4.42–9.12 | 2.97 1.23–4.71 0.76–5.18 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.30 | 86% |
| Total shots | 19.24 15.32–23.17 14.23–24.26 | 8.66 5.10–12.22 4.14–13.18 | 27.90 20.42–35.39 18.36–37.44 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.38 9.44–15.32 8.61–16.15 | 4.84 2.16–7.52 1.42–8.26 | 17.22 11.60–22.84 10.03–24.41 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.53 3.65–7.41 3.10–7.96 | 1.94 0.28–3.59 0.00–4.08 | 7.47 3.93–11.00 2.90–12.04 | 88% |
| Corners | 7.11 4.90–9.32 4.32–9.90 | 3.11 1.11–5.11 0.58–5.64 | 10.22 6.01–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 87% |
| Possession % | 63.65 56.86–70.44 55.19–72.11 | 37.13 30.34–43.91 28.67–45.58 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 563 496–630 478–648 | 336 269–402 252–420 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.90 81.87–89.93 80.58–91.22 | 75.14 70.82–79.47 69.51–80.78 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 13.73 10.89–16.56 10.13–17.32 | 12.62 9.68–15.57 8.93–16.32 | 26.35 20.57–32.13 19.06–33.64 | 55% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.81 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.20 | 3.45 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.26–2.89 | 2.41 1.29–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 3.99 1.81–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.64–3.51 0.26–3.90 | 4.34 2.78–5.90 2.36–6.32 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.62–10.22 | 13% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

