Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.070.703.77safe2.10–4.040.00–1.561.95–5.59safer1.85–4.290.00–1.781.47–6.07
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.132.7710.90safe6.27–9.991.03–4.517.29–14.50safer5.78–10.480.56–4.986.34–15.46
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.907.9028.79safe16.97–24.824.34–11.4621.31–36.28safer15.88–25.913.38–12.4219.26–38.33
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.414.2118.61safe11.46–17.351.53–6.8912.99–24.24safer10.64–18.180.79–7.6311.42–25.80
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.211.817.01safe3.32–7.090.16–3.463.48–10.55safer2.78–7.630.00–3.952.44–11.59
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.622.5010.12safe5.40–9.830.50–4.505.90–14.33safer4.83–10.410.00–5.034.80–15.44
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction65.6036.15safe58.81–72.3929.36–42.93safer57.14–74.0627.69–44.60
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction572306877safe505–639239–372744–1011safer486–657222–390708–1047
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction88.8578.54safe84.82–92.8874.22–82.87safer83.53–94.1872.91–84.18
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0910.8523.94safe10.25–15.937.91–13.8018.16–29.72safer9.50–16.687.16–14.5416.65–31.23
Offsides
51%
19%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.874.32safe1.30–3.620.77–2.962.07–6.57safer0.99–3.920.48–3.251.48–7.16
Yellow cards
21%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.983.09safe0.06–2.160.85–3.110.91–5.27safer0.00–2.430.56–3.400.36–5.83
Red cards
83%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.150.20safe0.00–0.210.00–0.330.00–0.54safer0.00–0.360.00–0.470.00–0.83
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.034.636.67safe0.60–3.473.08–6.193.67–9.66safer0.21–3.852.65–6.622.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.07 2.10–4.04 1.85–4.29 | 0.70 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.78 | 3.77 1.95–5.59 1.47–6.07 | 84% |
| Shots on target | 8.13 6.27–9.99 5.78–10.48 | 2.77 1.03–4.51 0.56–4.98 | 10.90 7.29–14.50 6.34–15.46 | 94% |
| Total shots | 20.90 16.97–24.82 15.88–25.91 | 7.90 4.34–11.46 3.38–12.42 | 28.79 21.31–36.28 19.26–38.33 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.41 11.46–17.35 10.64–18.18 | 4.21 1.53–6.89 0.79–7.63 | 18.61 12.99–24.24 11.42–25.80 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.21 3.32–7.09 2.78–7.63 | 1.81 0.16–3.46 0.00–3.95 | 7.01 3.48–10.55 2.44–11.59 | 87% |
| Corners | 7.62 5.40–9.83 4.83–10.41 | 2.50 0.50–4.50 0.00–5.03 | 10.12 5.90–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 93% |
| Possession % | 65.60 58.81–72.39 57.14–74.06 | 36.15 29.36–42.93 27.69–44.60 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 572 505–639 486–657 | 306 239–372 222–390 | 877 744–1011 708–1047 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.85 84.82–92.88 83.53–94.18 | 78.54 74.22–82.87 72.91–84.18 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 13.09 10.25–15.93 9.50–16.68 | 10.85 7.91–13.80 7.16–14.54 | 23.94 18.16–29.72 16.65–31.23 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.30–3.62 0.99–3.92 | 1.87 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.25 | 4.32 2.07–6.57 1.48–7.16 | 51% 19% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.11 0.06–2.16 0.00–2.43 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.36–5.83 | 21% 22% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.03 0.60–3.47 0.21–3.85 | 4.63 3.08–6.19 2.65–6.62 | 6.67 3.67–9.66 2.86–10.47 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.