Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
27%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.412.50safe0.12–2.060.56–2.270.68–4.32safer0.00–2.310.33–2.500.20–4.80
Shots on target
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.788.82safe2.17–5.903.04–6.525.21–12.42safer1.68–6.392.57–6.994.26–13.38
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.1526.21safe9.13–16.989.59–16.7218.72–33.70safer8.04–18.078.63–17.6716.67–35.75
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.568.3215.88safe4.62–10.515.64–11.0010.26–21.50safer3.79–11.344.90–11.748.69–23.07
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.597.23safe1.76–5.531.93–5.243.70–10.77safer1.22–6.071.44–5.732.66–11.80
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.004.729.72safe2.79–7.212.72–6.725.50–13.93safer2.21–7.792.19–7.254.40–15.04
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction47.2451.54safe40.45–54.0344.76–58.33safer38.78–55.7043.09–60.00
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction387418806safe320–455352–485672–939safer302–473334–502636–975
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction79.8082.33safe75.77–83.8378.00–86.65safer74.48–85.1276.69–87.96
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2313.0227.26safe11.40–17.0710.08–15.9721.48–33.04safer10.64–17.839.33–16.7219.97–34.54
Offsides
35%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.392.67safe0.12–2.440.30–2.480.42–4.93safer0.00–2.740.01–2.770.00–5.52
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.984.19safe1.15–3.250.86–3.112.01–6.37safer0.89–3.520.56–3.411.45–6.92
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.110.25safe0.00–0.300.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.450.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.892.765.65safe1.46–4.331.20–4.312.66–8.64safer1.07–4.720.77–4.741.85–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 29% 27% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.17–5.90 1.68–6.39 | 4.78 3.04–6.52 2.57–6.99 | 8.82 5.21–12.42 4.26–13.38 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.05 9.13–16.98 8.04–18.07 | 13.15 9.59–16.72 8.63–17.67 | 26.21 18.72–33.70 16.67–35.75 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 7.56 4.62–10.51 3.79–11.34 | 8.32 5.64–11.00 4.90–11.74 | 15.88 10.26–21.50 8.69–23.07 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.76–5.53 1.22–6.07 | 3.59 1.93–5.24 1.44–5.73 | 7.23 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.00 2.79–7.21 2.21–7.79 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.19–7.25 | 9.72 5.50–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 47.24 40.45–54.03 38.78–55.70 | 51.54 44.76–58.33 43.09–60.00 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 387 320–455 302–473 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 806 672–939 636–975 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.80 75.77–83.83 74.48–85.12 | 82.33 78.00–86.65 76.69–87.96 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 14.23 11.40–17.07 10.64–17.83 | 13.02 10.08–15.97 9.33–16.72 | 27.26 21.48–33.04 19.97–34.54 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.28 0.12–2.44 0.00–2.74 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 2.67 0.42–4.93 0.00–5.52 | 35% 26% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.89–3.52 | 1.98 0.86–3.11 0.56–3.41 | 4.19 2.01–6.37 1.45–6.92 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.77–4.74 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.85–9.45 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.