Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
27%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.440.962.40safe0.47–2.410.11–1.810.58–4.22safer0.22–2.660.00–2.040.10–4.70
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.767.17safe2.55–6.271.01–4.503.56–10.77safer2.06–6.760.55–4.962.61–11.73
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction14.989.1624.13safe11.05–18.905.59–12.7216.65–31.62safer9.96–19.994.63–13.6814.59–33.67
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction8.945.2014.14safe6.00–11.892.52–7.888.52–19.77safer5.17–12.721.78–8.626.95–21.33
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.822.416.23safe1.94–5.700.75–4.062.69–9.76safer1.40–6.250.26–4.551.66–10.80
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.603.749.34safe3.38–7.811.74–5.745.13–13.55safer2.81–8.381.21–6.284.02–14.66
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.3043.63safe49.51–63.0936.84–50.41safer47.84–64.7635.17–52.08
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction491382872safe423–558315–448739–1006safer405–576298–465703–1042
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction85.2180.20safe81.18–89.2475.88–84.52safer79.89–90.5374.57–85.83
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6411.8025.43safe10.80–16.488.85–14.7419.65–31.22safer10.04–17.238.10–15.4918.15–32.72
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.503.24safe0.58–2.900.41–2.590.99–5.49safer0.28–3.200.12–2.880.40–6.08
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.983.87safe0.84–2.930.85–3.111.69–6.05safer0.57–3.200.56–3.401.13–6.60
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
24%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.063.135.19safe0.63–3.501.57–4.682.20–8.18safer0.24–3.891.15–5.111.39–9.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 0.96 0.11–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.40 0.58–4.22 0.10–4.70 | 48% 27% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 2.76 1.01–4.50 0.55–4.96 | 7.17 3.56–10.77 2.61–11.73 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 14.98 11.05–18.90 9.96–19.99 | 9.16 5.59–12.72 4.63–13.68 | 24.13 16.65–31.62 14.59–33.67 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 8.94 6.00–11.89 5.17–12.72 | 5.20 2.52–7.88 1.78–8.62 | 14.14 8.52–19.77 6.95–21.33 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.40–6.25 | 2.41 0.75–4.06 0.26–4.55 | 6.23 2.69–9.76 1.66–10.80 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.38 | 3.74 1.74–5.74 1.21–6.28 | 9.34 5.13–13.55 4.02–14.66 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 56.30 49.51–63.09 47.84–64.76 | 43.63 36.84–50.41 35.17–52.08 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 491 423–558 405–576 | 382 315–448 298–465 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.21 81.18–89.24 79.89–90.53 | 80.20 75.88–84.52 74.57–85.83 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 13.64 10.80–16.48 10.04–17.23 | 11.80 8.85–14.74 8.10–15.49 | 25.43 19.65–31.22 18.15–32.72 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.50 0.41–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.24 0.99–5.49 0.40–6.08 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.84–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.87 1.69–6.05 1.13–6.60 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 3.13 1.57–4.68 1.15–5.11 | 5.19 2.20–8.18 1.39–9.00 | 24% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.