Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.242.75safe0.54–2.480.38–2.090.93–4.57safer0.29–2.730.16–2.320.45–5.05
Shots on target
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.279.49safe3.36–7.092.52–6.015.89–13.10safer2.87–7.582.06–6.474.93–14.05
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7812.5027.29safe10.86–18.718.94–16.0619.80–34.77safer9.77–19.807.98–17.0217.75–36.82
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.608.1417.74safe6.66–12.545.46–10.8212.12–23.36safer5.83–13.374.72–11.5610.55–24.93
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.347.25safe2.02–5.791.69–4.993.71–10.78safer1.48–6.331.19–5.482.67–11.82
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.504.7310.23safe3.29–7.722.73–6.736.02–14.44safer2.72–8.292.19–7.264.91–15.55
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.5439.78safe53.75–67.3332.99–46.56safer52.08–69.0031.32–48.23
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction455290745safe388–523223–356611–879safer370–541206–374575–914
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction80.2471.78safe76.22–84.2767.46–76.11safer74.92–85.5766.15–77.42
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1714.0725.24safe8.33–14.0011.13–17.0219.46–31.02safer7.57–14.7610.38–17.7717.95–32.53
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.733.25safe0.36–2.680.64–2.831.00–5.51safer0.06–2.980.35–3.110.41–6.10
Yellow cards
33%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.153.94safe0.74–2.841.02–3.281.76–6.12safer0.48–3.110.73–3.571.20–6.68
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.436.16safe1.29–4.161.88–4.993.17–9.15safer0.90–4.551.45–5.422.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.16–2.32 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.22 3.36–7.09 2.87–7.58 | 4.27 2.52–6.01 2.06–6.47 | 9.49 5.89–13.10 4.93–14.05 | 56% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.78 10.86–18.71 9.77–19.80 | 12.50 8.94–16.06 7.98–17.02 | 27.29 19.80–34.77 17.75–36.82 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.60 6.66–12.54 5.83–13.37 | 8.14 5.46–10.82 4.72–11.56 | 17.74 12.12–23.36 10.55–24.93 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.02–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 3.34 1.69–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 7.25 3.71–10.78 2.67–11.82 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.50 3.29–7.72 2.72–8.29 | 4.73 2.73–6.73 2.19–7.26 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 60.54 53.75–67.33 52.08–69.00 | 39.78 32.99–46.56 31.32–48.23 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 455 388–523 370–541 | 290 223–356 206–374 | 745 611–879 575–914 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.24 76.22–84.27 74.92–85.57 | 71.78 67.46–76.11 66.15–77.42 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.17 8.33–14.00 7.57–14.76 | 14.07 11.13–17.02 10.38–17.77 | 25.24 19.46–31.02 17.95–32.53 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.11 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.20–6.68 | 33% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.43 1.88–4.99 1.45–5.42 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+