Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.132.45safe0.36–2.290.27–1.980.63–4.28safer0.10–2.540.05–2.210.15–4.75
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.698.11safe2.55–6.281.95–5.434.50–11.71safer2.06–6.771.48–5.903.55–12.67
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2710.4723.74safe9.34–17.196.90–14.0316.25–31.22safer8.25–18.285.95–14.9914.20–33.27
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.477.2315.70safe5.53–11.414.55–9.9110.08–21.32safer4.70–12.243.81–10.658.51–22.89
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.742.786.53safe1.86–5.631.13–4.432.99–10.06safer1.32–6.170.64–4.931.95–11.10
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.069.32safe3.05–7.472.06–6.065.11–13.53safer2.47–8.051.53–6.594.00–14.64
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.9440.95safe53.15–66.7334.16–47.73safer51.48–68.4032.49–49.40
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction533354887safe466–600288–421753–1021safer447–618270–438718–1056
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction85.5579.71safe81.53–89.5875.38–84.03safer80.23–90.8874.08–85.34
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4213.2826.69safe10.58–16.2610.33–16.2220.91–32.48safer9.83–17.019.58–16.9719.41–33.98
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.323.12safe0.64–2.960.23–2.410.86–5.37safer0.34–3.260.00–2.700.27–5.96
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.113.97safe0.82–2.920.98–3.241.80–6.15safer0.55–3.180.69–3.531.24–6.71
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.255.59safe0.90–3.771.69–4.812.59–8.58safer0.51–4.161.27–5.231.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.36–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.45 0.63–4.28 0.15–4.75 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.28 2.06–6.77 | 3.69 1.95–5.43 1.48–5.90 | 8.11 4.50–11.71 3.55–12.67 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.27 9.34–17.19 8.25–18.28 | 10.47 6.90–14.03 5.95–14.99 | 23.74 16.25–31.22 14.20–33.27 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.47 5.53–11.41 4.70–12.24 | 7.23 4.55–9.91 3.81–10.65 | 15.70 10.08–21.32 8.51–22.89 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.74 1.86–5.63 1.32–6.17 | 2.78 1.13–4.43 0.64–4.93 | 6.53 2.99–10.06 1.95–11.10 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.05–7.47 2.47–8.05 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.59 | 9.32 5.11–13.53 4.00–14.64 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 59.94 53.15–66.73 51.48–68.40 | 40.95 34.16–47.73 32.49–49.40 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 533 466–600 447–618 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 887 753–1021 718–1056 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.55 81.53–89.58 80.23–90.88 | 79.71 75.38–84.03 74.08–85.34 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 13.42 10.58–16.26 9.83–17.01 | 13.28 10.33–16.22 9.58–16.97 | 26.69 20.91–32.48 19.41–33.98 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.32 0.23–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.12 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.97 1.80–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 3.25 1.69–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 5.59 2.59–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+