Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.733.04safe0.35–2.280.87–2.581.22–4.87safer0.09–2.530.65–2.810.74–5.34
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.225.229.44safe2.35–6.083.48–6.965.83–13.04safer1.86–6.573.01–7.434.88–14.00
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2414.0626.30safe8.32–16.1710.50–17.6218.82–33.79safer7.23–17.269.54–18.5816.76–35.84
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.559.7617.31safe4.61–10.507.08–12.4411.69–22.93safer3.78–11.326.34–13.1710.12–24.50
Blocked shots
42%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.343.376.71safe1.46–5.221.72–5.023.18–10.25safer0.92–5.771.22–5.512.14–11.28
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.755.109.85safe2.54–6.963.10–7.105.63–14.06safer1.96–7.542.56–7.634.53–15.17
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.3152.11safe40.52–54.1045.32–58.89safer38.85–55.7743.65–60.56
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction393442835safe326–460376–509701–969safer307–478358–526666–1004
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction76.4378.93safe72.40–80.4674.61–83.25safer71.11–81.7573.30–84.56
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6112.9825.60safe9.78–15.4510.04–15.9319.81–31.38safer9.02–16.219.29–16.6818.31–32.88
Offsides
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.293.91safe0.47–2.791.19–3.381.66–6.17safer0.17–3.090.90–3.671.07–6.76
Yellow cards
41%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.264.58safe1.27–3.371.13–3.392.40–6.76safer1.00–3.630.84–3.681.84–7.31
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.140.29safe0.00–0.310.00–0.330.00–0.64safer0.00–0.460.00–0.460.00–0.92
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.522.946.46safe2.08–4.951.39–4.503.47–9.45safer1.69–5.340.96–4.922.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.35–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.73 0.87–2.58 0.65–2.81 | 3.04 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.34 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.57 | 5.22 3.48–6.96 3.01–7.43 | 9.44 5.83–13.04 4.88–14.00 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.24 8.32–16.17 7.23–17.26 | 14.06 10.50–17.62 9.54–18.58 | 26.30 18.82–33.79 16.76–35.84 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 7.55 4.61–10.50 3.78–11.32 | 9.76 7.08–12.44 6.34–13.17 | 17.31 11.69–22.93 10.12–24.50 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.46–5.22 0.92–5.77 | 3.37 1.72–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 6.71 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.28 | 42% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.54–6.96 1.96–7.54 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.56–7.63 | 9.85 5.63–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 47.31 40.52–54.10 38.85–55.77 | 52.11 45.32–58.89 43.65–60.56 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 393 326–460 307–478 | 442 376–509 358–526 | 835 701–969 666–1004 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.43 72.40–80.46 71.11–81.75 | 78.93 74.61–83.25 73.30–84.56 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 12.61 9.78–15.45 9.02–16.21 | 12.98 10.04–15.93 9.29–16.68 | 25.60 19.81–31.38 18.31–32.88 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 2.29 1.19–3.38 0.90–3.67 | 3.91 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.37 1.00–3.63 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 4.58 2.40–6.76 1.84–7.31 | 41% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% |
| GK saves | 3.52 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 2.94 1.39–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.