Süper Lig·Regular Season - 33·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.022.053.07safe0.05–1.981.20–2.911.24–4.89safer0.00–2.230.97–3.130.76–5.37
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.525.629.14safe1.66–5.393.87–7.365.53–12.74safer1.17–5.883.41–7.834.58–13.70
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6015.2325.83safe6.68–14.5311.66–18.7918.34–33.32safer5.59–15.6210.70–19.7516.29–35.37
Shots in box
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction7.069.9116.97safe4.12–10.007.23–12.5911.35–22.59safer3.29–10.836.49–13.339.78–24.16
Blocked shots
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.824.387.19safe0.93–4.702.72–6.033.66–10.73safer0.39–5.242.23–6.522.62–11.76
Corners
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.705.409.10safe1.49–5.923.40–7.404.89–13.32safer0.91–6.492.87–7.943.78–14.42
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.0860.15safe32.29–45.8853.37–66.93safer30.62–47.5451.69–68.61
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction328487815safe261–395421–554681–949safer242–413403–571646–984
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction76.8485.27safe72.81–80.8780.95–89.60safer71.52–82.1679.64–90.91
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0712.2723.34safe8.23–13.919.33–15.2217.56–29.13safer7.48–14.678.58–15.9616.06–30.63
Offsides
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.551.724.27safe1.39–3.710.62–2.812.02–6.52safer1.09–4.010.34–3.101.43–7.11
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.073.92safe0.80–2.900.94–3.201.74–6.09safer0.53–3.160.65–3.491.18–6.65
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.090.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.450.00–0.410.00–0.86
GK saves
62%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.682.446.12safe2.25–5.120.88–4.003.13–9.11safer1.86–5.510.46–4.422.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 2.05 1.20–2.91 0.97–3.13 | 3.07 1.24–4.89 0.76–5.37 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.52 1.66–5.39 1.17–5.88 | 5.62 3.87–7.36 3.41–7.83 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.58–13.70 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 10.60 6.68–14.53 5.59–15.62 | 15.23 11.66–18.79 10.70–19.75 | 25.83 18.34–33.32 16.29–35.37 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 7.06 4.12–10.00 3.29–10.83 | 9.91 7.23–12.59 6.49–13.33 | 16.97 11.35–22.59 9.78–24.16 | 21% 72% |
| Blocked shots | 2.82 0.93–4.70 0.39–5.24 | 4.38 2.72–6.03 2.23–6.52 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 22% 65% |
| Corners | 3.70 1.49–5.92 0.91–6.49 | 5.40 3.40–7.40 2.87–7.94 | 9.10 4.89–13.32 3.78–14.42 | 23% 65% |
| Possession % | 39.08 32.29–45.88 30.62–47.54 | 60.15 53.37–66.93 51.69–68.61 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 328 261–395 242–413 | 487 421–554 403–571 | 815 681–949 646–984 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.84 72.81–80.87 71.52–82.16 | 85.27 80.95–89.60 79.64–90.91 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.91 7.48–14.67 | 12.27 9.33–15.22 8.58–15.96 | 23.34 17.56–29.13 16.06–30.63 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.55 1.39–3.71 1.09–4.01 | 1.72 0.62–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 4.27 2.02–6.52 1.43–7.11 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.16 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.92 1.74–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.68 2.25–5.12 1.86–5.51 | 2.44 0.88–4.00 0.46–4.42 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.32–9.93 | 62% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.