Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.260.883.15safe1.30–3.230.03–1.741.33–4.97safer1.04–3.480.00–1.970.85–5.45
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.053.2310.28safe5.19–8.921.48–4.976.67–13.88safer4.70–9.411.02–5.445.72–14.84
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.1710.0228.19safe14.25–22.106.45–13.5820.70–35.68safer13.16–23.195.49–14.5418.65–37.73
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.646.2918.93safe9.70–15.583.61–8.9713.31–24.56safer8.87–16.412.88–9.7111.74–26.12
Blocked shots
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.662.306.96safe2.78–6.550.64–3.953.43–10.50safer2.24–7.090.15–4.442.39–11.53
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.593.4510.04safe4.38–8.811.45–5.455.83–14.26safer3.80–9.380.92–5.994.72–15.36
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.4236.21safe57.63–71.2129.42–42.99safer55.96–72.8827.75–44.66
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction574328902safe507–642261–394768–1035safer489–660244–412732–1071
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction88.5678.48safe84.53–92.5974.15–82.80safer83.24–93.8972.84–84.11
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2711.7224.99safe10.44–16.118.77–14.6619.21–30.77safer9.68–16.878.03–15.4117.71–32.28
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.703.31safe0.44–2.760.61–2.801.05–5.56safer0.14–3.060.32–3.090.46–6.15
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.763.49safe0.67–2.770.63–2.891.31–5.66safer0.41–3.040.34–3.180.75–6.22
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.174.586.74safe0.73–3.613.02–6.133.75–9.74safer0.35–3.992.59–6.562.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.30–3.23 1.04–3.48 | 0.88 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 69% 18% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.05 5.19–8.92 4.70–9.41 | 3.23 1.48–4.97 1.02–5.44 | 10.28 6.67–13.88 5.72–14.84 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.17 14.25–22.10 13.16–23.19 | 10.02 6.45–13.58 5.49–14.54 | 28.19 20.70–35.68 18.65–37.73 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.64 9.70–15.58 8.87–16.41 | 6.29 3.61–8.97 2.88–9.71 | 18.93 13.31–24.56 11.74–26.12 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.66 2.78–6.55 2.24–7.09 | 2.30 0.64–3.95 0.15–4.44 | 6.96 3.43–10.50 2.39–11.53 | 76% 13% |
| Corners | 6.59 4.38–8.81 3.80–9.38 | 3.45 1.45–5.45 0.92–5.99 | 10.04 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.36 | 80% |
| Possession % | 64.42 57.63–71.21 55.96–72.88 | 36.21 29.42–42.99 27.75–44.66 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 574 507–642 489–660 | 328 261–394 244–412 | 902 768–1035 732–1071 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.56 84.53–92.59 83.24–93.89 | 78.48 74.15–82.80 72.84–84.11 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 13.27 10.44–16.11 9.68–16.87 | 11.72 8.77–14.66 8.03–15.41 | 24.99 19.21–30.77 17.71–32.28 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.49 1.31–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.73–3.61 0.35–3.99 | 4.58 3.02–6.13 2.59–6.56 | 6.74 3.75–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

