Süper Lig·Regular Season - 33·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.782.82safe0.07–2.010.92–2.630.99–4.64safer0.00–2.260.69–2.860.51–5.12
Shots on target
23%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.394.968.35safe1.53–5.253.22–6.704.74–11.95safer1.04–5.742.75–7.173.79–12.91
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6714.2624.93safe6.74–14.5910.70–17.8217.44–32.41safer5.65–15.689.74–18.7815.39–34.47
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.008.6915.69safe4.06–9.946.01–11.3710.06–21.31safer3.23–10.775.27–12.108.50–22.88
Blocked shots
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.706.62safe1.03–4.802.05–5.363.08–10.15safer0.49–5.341.56–5.852.05–11.19
Corners
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.845.138.97safe1.62–6.053.13–7.134.76–13.18safer1.05–6.622.60–7.673.65–14.29
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.0860.78safe31.29–44.8753.99–67.56safer29.62–46.5452.32–69.23
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction353536889safe286–420470–603756–1023safer267–438452–620720–1059
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction80.0387.85safe76.00–84.0683.52–92.17safer74.71–85.3682.21–93.48
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2911.1422.43safe8.46–14.138.19–14.0816.65–28.21safer7.70–14.897.44–14.8315.14–29.72
Offsides
59%
18%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.561.554.11safe1.40–3.720.46–2.651.86–6.37safer1.10–4.020.17–2.931.27–6.96
Yellow cards
36%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.823.51safe0.65–2.750.69–2.951.34–5.69safer0.38–3.010.40–3.240.78–6.25
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
52%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.162.515.67safe1.72–4.590.95–4.072.68–8.66safer1.33–4.980.53–4.491.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.78 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 2.82 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.39 1.53–5.25 1.04–5.74 | 4.96 3.22–6.70 2.75–7.17 | 8.35 4.74–11.95 3.79–12.91 | 23% 64% |
| Total shots | 10.67 6.74–14.59 5.65–15.68 | 14.26 10.70–17.82 9.74–18.78 | 24.93 17.44–32.41 15.39–34.47 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 7.00 4.06–9.94 3.23–10.77 | 8.69 6.01–11.37 5.27–12.10 | 15.69 10.06–21.31 8.50–22.88 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 2.91 1.03–4.80 0.49–5.34 | 3.70 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 6.62 3.08–10.15 2.05–11.19 | 31% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 3.84 1.62–6.05 1.05–6.62 | 5.13 3.13–7.13 2.60–7.67 | 8.97 4.76–13.18 3.65–14.29 | 27% 60% |
| Possession % | 38.08 31.29–44.87 29.62–46.54 | 60.78 53.99–67.56 52.32–69.23 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 353 286–420 267–438 | 536 470–603 452–620 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.03 76.00–84.06 74.71–85.36 | 87.85 83.52–92.17 82.21–93.48 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.46–14.13 7.70–14.89 | 11.14 8.19–14.08 7.44–14.83 | 22.43 16.65–28.21 15.14–29.72 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.56 1.40–3.72 1.10–4.02 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 4.11 1.86–6.37 1.27–6.96 | 59% 18% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.51 1.34–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 36% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 2.51 0.95–4.07 0.53–4.49 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 52% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.