Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.712.95safe0.27–2.210.85–2.561.13–4.77safer0.02–2.460.63–2.790.65–5.25
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.544.799.33safe2.68–6.403.05–6.535.72–12.93safer2.19–6.892.58–7.004.77–13.89
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5513.2326.78safe9.63–17.489.67–16.7919.29–34.27safer8.54–18.578.71–17.7517.24–36.32
Shots in box
30%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.559.1416.69safe4.61–10.496.46–11.8211.07–22.32safer3.78–11.325.72–12.569.50–23.88
Blocked shots
41%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.587.10safe1.63–5.401.93–5.233.56–10.63safer1.09–5.941.43–5.722.52–11.67
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.495.019.50safe2.28–6.713.01–7.015.28–13.71safer1.71–7.282.47–7.544.18–14.82
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction44.8453.64safe38.05–51.6346.86–60.43safer36.38–53.3045.19–62.10
Passes
29%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction357421779safe290–424355–488645–912safer272–442338–505609–948
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction81.7684.17safe77.73–85.7979.85–88.50safer76.44–87.0978.54–89.81
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0814.9327.01safe9.25–14.9211.98–17.8721.23–32.79safer8.49–15.6811.24–18.6219.73–34.30
Offsides
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.143.47safe0.17–2.491.05–3.231.21–5.72safer0.00–2.790.76–3.520.62–6.31
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.194.23safe0.99–3.091.06–3.322.05–6.41safer0.73–3.360.77–3.611.49–6.97
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.140.28safe0.00–0.300.00–0.320.00–0.63safer0.00–0.450.00–0.460.00–0.91
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.123.046.16safe1.68–4.551.48–4.593.16–9.15safer1.29–4.941.06–5.022.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.71 0.85–2.56 0.63–2.79 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.40 2.19–6.89 | 4.79 3.05–6.53 2.58–7.00 | 9.33 5.72–12.93 4.77–13.89 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.55 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.57 | 13.23 9.67–16.79 8.71–17.75 | 26.78 19.29–34.27 17.24–36.32 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.55 4.61–10.49 3.78–11.32 | 9.14 6.46–11.82 5.72–12.56 | 16.69 11.07–22.32 9.50–23.88 | 30% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.63–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 3.58 1.93–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.52–11.67 | 41% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.49 2.28–6.71 1.71–7.28 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.47–7.54 | 9.50 5.28–13.71 4.18–14.82 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 44.84 38.05–51.63 36.38–53.30 | 53.64 46.86–60.43 45.19–62.10 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 357 290–424 272–442 | 421 355–488 338–505 | 779 645–912 609–948 | 29% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.76 77.73–85.79 76.44–87.09 | 84.17 79.85–88.50 78.54–89.81 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 12.08 9.25–14.92 8.49–15.68 | 14.93 11.98–17.87 11.24–18.62 | 27.01 21.23–32.79 19.73–34.30 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 2.14 1.05–3.23 0.76–3.52 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.23 2.05–6.41 1.49–6.97 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 3.04 1.48–4.59 1.06–5.02 | 6.16 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.