Süper Lig·Regular Season - 33·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.280.803.08safe1.31–3.250.00–1.661.26–4.90safer1.06–3.500.00–1.880.78–5.38
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.109.35safe4.39–8.111.36–4.845.74–12.95safer3.90–8.600.89–5.314.79–13.91
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.599.4527.04safe13.66–21.515.89–13.0119.55–34.53safer12.57–22.604.93–13.9717.50–36.58
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction11.975.3317.29safe9.02–14.912.65–8.0111.67–22.92safer8.19–15.741.91–8.7510.10–24.48
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.532.477.00safe2.65–6.410.82–4.133.47–10.54safer2.10–6.950.33–4.622.43–11.57
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.013.3610.37safe4.80–9.221.36–5.366.15–14.58safer4.22–9.800.82–5.895.05–15.69
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.9738.92safe55.17–68.7632.13–45.70safer53.51–70.4330.46–47.37
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction548353901safe480–615287–420767–1035safer462–633269–437732–1070
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction83.3075.97safe79.27–87.3371.65–80.30safer77.97–88.6270.34–81.61
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7413.6325.37safe8.90–14.5810.68–16.5719.58–31.15safer8.15–15.339.93–17.3218.08–32.65
Offsides
52%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.473.58safe0.95–3.270.37–2.561.33–5.83safer0.65–3.570.09–2.850.74–6.42
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.233.96safe0.68–2.781.10–3.361.78–6.14safer0.41–3.040.81–3.651.23–6.70
Red cards
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.21safe0.00–0.220.00–0.340.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.470.00–0.84
GK saves
20%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.213.685.88safe0.77–3.642.12–5.242.89–8.88safer0.38–4.031.70–5.662.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.28 1.31–3.25 1.06–3.50 | 0.80 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.88 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 71% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.25 4.39–8.11 3.90–8.60 | 3.10 1.36–4.84 0.89–5.31 | 9.35 5.74–12.95 4.79–13.91 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.59 13.66–21.51 12.57–22.60 | 9.45 5.89–13.01 4.93–13.97 | 27.04 19.55–34.53 17.50–36.58 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.97 9.02–14.91 8.19–15.74 | 5.33 2.65–8.01 1.91–8.75 | 17.29 11.67–22.92 10.10–24.48 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.65–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 2.47 0.82–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 7.00 3.47–10.54 2.43–11.57 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 7.01 4.80–9.22 4.22–9.80 | 3.36 1.36–5.36 0.82–5.89 | 10.37 6.15–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 84% |
| Possession % | 61.97 55.17–68.76 53.51–70.43 | 38.92 32.13–45.70 30.46–47.37 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 548 480–615 462–633 | 353 287–420 269–437 | 901 767–1035 732–1070 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.30 79.27–87.33 77.97–88.62 | 75.97 71.65–80.30 70.34–81.61 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.90–14.58 8.15–15.33 | 13.63 10.68–16.57 9.93–17.32 | 25.37 19.58–31.15 18.08–32.65 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.11 0.95–3.27 0.65–3.57 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.58 1.33–5.83 0.74–6.42 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.23–6.70 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.21 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 3.68 2.12–5.24 1.70–5.66 | 5.88 2.89–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 20% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.