Süper Lig·Regular Season - 33·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.442.63safe0.22–2.150.59–2.300.80–4.45safer0.00–2.400.36–2.520.32–4.93
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.904.488.38safe2.04–5.772.74–6.224.78–11.99safer1.55–6.262.27–6.693.82–12.94
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0414.5426.58safe8.12–15.9710.98–18.1119.10–34.07safer7.02–17.0610.02–19.0717.05–36.12
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction7.068.6215.68safe4.12–10.005.94–11.3010.06–21.30safer3.29–10.835.20–12.048.49–22.87
Blocked shots
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.426.44safe1.14–4.901.77–5.082.91–9.98safer0.60–5.451.28–5.571.87–11.01
Corners
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.249.59safe2.13–6.553.24–7.245.37–13.80safer1.55–7.132.71–7.784.26–14.91
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.4857.14safe35.69–49.2750.35–63.92safer34.02–50.9448.68–65.59
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction369494863safe302–436428–561730–997safer283–454410–578694–1033
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction80.2685.75safe76.23–84.2981.43–90.08safer74.94–85.5880.12–91.39
Fouls
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1613.7626.92safe10.33–16.0010.82–16.7121.14–32.71safer9.57–16.7610.07–17.4519.64–34.21
Offsides
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.552.89safe0.18–2.500.46–2.650.64–5.15safer0.00–2.800.17–2.930.05–5.74
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.211.934.14safe1.16–3.260.80–3.061.96–6.32safer0.90–3.530.51–3.351.40–6.87
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.615.84safe1.79–4.671.05–4.162.84–8.83safer1.41–5.050.63–4.592.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.44 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.52 | 2.63 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 3.90 2.04–5.77 1.55–6.26 | 4.48 2.74–6.22 2.27–6.69 | 8.38 4.78–11.99 3.82–12.94 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.04 8.12–15.97 7.02–17.06 | 14.54 10.98–18.11 10.02–19.07 | 26.58 19.10–34.07 17.05–36.12 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.06 4.12–10.00 3.29–10.83 | 8.62 5.94–11.30 5.20–12.04 | 15.68 10.06–21.30 8.49–22.87 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.02 1.14–4.90 0.60–5.45 | 3.42 1.77–5.08 1.28–5.57 | 6.44 2.91–9.98 1.87–11.01 | 36% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.55 1.55–7.13 | 5.24 3.24–7.24 2.71–7.78 | 9.59 5.37–13.80 4.26–14.91 | 32% 55% |
| Possession % | 42.48 35.69–49.27 34.02–50.94 | 57.14 50.35–63.92 48.68–65.59 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 369 302–436 283–454 | 494 428–561 410–578 | 863 730–997 694–1033 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.26 76.23–84.29 74.94–85.58 | 85.75 81.43–90.08 80.12–91.39 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 13.16 10.33–16.00 9.57–16.76 | 13.76 10.82–16.71 10.07–17.45 | 26.92 21.14–32.71 19.64–34.21 | 42% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.34 0.18–2.50 0.00–2.80 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 2.89 0.64–5.15 0.05–5.74 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.21 1.16–3.26 0.90–3.53 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.40–6.87 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.67 1.41–5.05 | 2.61 1.05–4.16 0.63–4.59 | 5.84 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.