Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.532.83safe0.34–2.270.67–2.381.01–4.65safer0.09–2.520.44–2.610.53–5.13
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.769.09safe2.46–6.193.02–6.505.48–12.69safer1.97–6.682.55–6.974.52–13.65
Total shots
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3013.8927.18safe9.37–17.2210.33–17.4519.70–34.67safer8.28–18.319.37–18.4117.65–36.72
Shots in box
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.628.7617.39safe5.68–11.576.08–11.4511.77–23.01safer4.85–12.405.35–12.1810.20–24.58
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.124.107.22safe1.24–5.002.45–5.763.69–10.76safer0.69–5.551.96–6.252.65–11.79
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.845.129.96safe2.62–7.053.12–7.125.74–14.17safer2.05–7.622.59–7.654.64–15.28
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.0655.63safe37.27–50.8648.84–62.41safer35.60–52.5247.17–64.08
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction329415744safe262–397349–482611–878safer244–415331–499575–914
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction71.8878.27safe67.85–75.9173.94–82.59safer66.56–77.2072.64–83.90
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5512.4024.95safe9.71–15.399.45–15.3419.17–30.73safer8.95–16.148.71–16.0917.66–32.23
Offsides
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.663.46safe0.64–2.960.57–2.761.21–5.72safer0.34–3.260.28–3.040.62–6.31
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.064.34safe1.23–3.330.93–3.192.16–6.52safer0.96–3.590.64–3.481.60–7.07
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.052.895.94safe1.62–4.491.33–4.442.95–8.93safer1.23–4.880.91–4.872.14–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.52 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 4.76 3.02–6.50 2.55–6.97 | 9.09 5.48–12.69 4.52–13.65 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.30 9.37–17.22 8.28–18.31 | 13.89 10.33–17.45 9.37–18.41 | 27.18 19.70–34.67 17.65–36.72 | 42% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.57 4.85–12.40 | 8.76 6.08–11.45 5.35–12.18 | 17.39 11.77–23.01 10.20–24.58 | 44% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.24–5.00 0.69–5.55 | 4.10 2.45–5.76 1.96–6.25 | 7.22 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.79 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.84 2.62–7.05 2.05–7.62 | 5.12 3.12–7.12 2.59–7.65 | 9.96 5.74–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 44.06 37.27–50.86 35.60–52.52 | 55.63 48.84–62.41 47.17–64.08 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 329 262–397 244–415 | 415 349–482 331–499 | 744 611–878 575–914 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.88 67.85–75.91 66.56–77.20 | 78.27 73.94–82.59 72.64–83.90 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.39 8.95–16.14 | 12.40 9.45–15.34 8.71–16.09 | 24.95 19.17–30.73 17.66–32.23 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.04 | 3.46 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.96–3.59 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 4.34 2.16–6.52 1.60–7.07 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 2.89 1.33–4.44 0.91–4.87 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.14–9.74 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.