Süper Lig·Regular Season - 33·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.822.97safe0.18–2.120.97–2.681.15–4.80safer0.00–2.370.74–2.900.67–5.27
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.885.549.42safe2.02–5.743.80–7.285.82–13.03safer1.53–6.233.33–7.754.86–13.98
Total shots
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7414.9226.66safe7.81–15.6611.36–18.4819.17–34.14safer6.72–16.7510.40–19.4417.12–36.20
Shots in box
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.719.6717.38safe4.77–10.666.99–12.3511.76–23.01safer3.94–11.496.25–13.0910.19–24.57
Blocked shots
22%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.744.226.95safe0.85–4.622.56–5.873.42–10.49safer0.31–5.162.07–6.362.38–11.52
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.035.239.25safe1.81–6.243.23–7.235.04–13.47safer1.24–6.812.69–7.763.93–14.57
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.6757.71safe35.88–49.4650.93–64.50safer34.21–51.1349.25–66.17
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction362482844safe295–430415–548710–978safer277–448398–566674–1013
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction78.6783.62safe74.64–82.7079.30–87.94safer73.35–83.9977.99–89.25
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3812.6826.06safe10.54–16.219.73–15.6220.27–31.84safer9.78–16.978.99–16.3718.77–33.34
Offsides
54%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.313.35safe0.88–3.200.21–2.401.09–5.60safer0.58–3.500.00–2.690.50–6.19
Yellow cards
35%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.144.05safe0.86–2.961.01–3.271.87–6.23safer0.59–3.230.72–3.561.31–6.79
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.140.28safe0.00–0.300.00–0.330.00–0.63safer0.00–0.450.00–0.460.00–0.91
GK saves
55%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.726.28safe2.12–4.991.17–4.283.29–9.27safer1.73–5.380.74–4.702.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.82 0.97–2.68 0.74–2.90 | 2.97 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.27 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.88 2.02–5.74 1.53–6.23 | 5.54 3.80–7.28 3.33–7.75 | 9.42 5.82–13.03 4.86–13.98 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 11.74 7.81–15.66 6.72–16.75 | 14.92 11.36–18.48 10.40–19.44 | 26.66 19.17–34.14 17.12–36.20 | 24% 70% |
| Shots in box | 7.71 4.77–10.66 3.94–11.49 | 9.67 6.99–12.35 6.25–13.09 | 17.38 11.76–23.01 10.19–24.57 | 28% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 2.74 0.85–4.62 0.31–5.16 | 4.22 2.56–5.87 2.07–6.36 | 6.95 3.42–10.49 2.38–11.52 | 22% 13% 64% |
| Corners | 4.03 1.81–6.24 1.24–6.81 | 5.23 3.23–7.23 2.69–7.76 | 9.25 5.04–13.47 3.93–14.57 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 42.67 35.88–49.46 34.21–51.13 | 57.71 50.93–64.50 49.25–66.17 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 362 295–430 277–448 | 482 415–548 398–566 | 844 710–978 674–1013 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.67 74.64–82.70 73.35–83.99 | 83.62 79.30–87.94 77.99–89.25 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 13.38 10.54–16.21 9.78–16.97 | 12.68 9.73–15.62 8.99–16.37 | 26.06 20.27–31.84 18.77–33.34 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.35 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 54% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.23 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 4.05 1.87–6.23 1.31–6.79 | 35% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.12–4.99 1.73–5.38 | 2.72 1.17–4.28 0.74–4.70 | 6.28 3.29–9.27 2.48–10.09 | 55% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+