Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.793.02safe0.27–2.200.93–2.641.20–4.84safer0.02–2.460.70–2.870.72–5.32
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.095.139.23safe2.23–5.963.39–6.875.62–12.83safer1.74–6.452.92–7.344.67–13.79
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9113.4826.39safe8.99–16.849.92–17.0418.90–33.88safer7.90–17.938.96–18.0016.85–35.93
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction7.679.2716.94safe4.72–10.616.59–11.9511.32–22.56safer3.90–11.445.86–12.699.75–24.13
Blocked shots
41%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.486.85safe1.49–5.251.83–5.143.32–10.39safer0.94–5.801.34–5.632.28–11.42
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.574.999.57safe2.36–6.792.99–6.995.35–13.78safer1.79–7.362.46–7.534.25–14.89
Possession %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction42.8556.53safe36.06–49.6449.75–63.32safer34.39–51.3148.08–64.99
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction379476856safe312–447410–543722–989safer294–465392–560686–1025
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction77.5180.87safe73.48–81.5476.55–85.20safer72.19–82.8375.24–86.50
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5212.2025.72safe10.68–16.369.25–15.1419.94–31.50safer9.93–17.118.51–15.8918.43–33.01
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.573.30safe0.57–2.890.48–2.671.05–5.55safer0.27–3.190.19–2.950.46–6.14
Yellow cards
41%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.174.37safe1.15–3.251.04–3.302.19–6.55safer0.88–3.510.75–3.591.64–7.11
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
47%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.202.876.07safe1.76–4.641.31–4.423.07–9.06safer1.38–5.020.88–4.852.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.20 0.02–2.46 | 1.79 0.93–2.64 0.70–2.87 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 26% 23% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.09 2.23–5.96 1.74–6.45 | 5.13 3.39–6.87 2.92–7.34 | 9.23 5.62–12.83 4.67–13.79 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.91 8.99–16.84 7.90–17.93 | 13.48 9.92–17.04 8.96–18.00 | 26.39 18.90–33.88 16.85–35.93 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.67 4.72–10.61 3.90–11.44 | 9.27 6.59–11.95 5.86–12.69 | 16.94 11.32–22.56 9.75–24.13 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.25 0.94–5.80 | 3.48 1.83–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 6.85 3.32–10.39 2.28–11.42 | 41% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.36–6.79 1.79–7.36 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.46–7.53 | 9.57 5.35–13.78 4.25–14.89 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 42.85 36.06–49.64 34.39–51.31 | 56.53 49.75–63.32 48.08–64.99 | — | 19% 77% |
| Passes | 379 312–447 294–465 | 476 410–543 392–560 | 856 722–989 686–1025 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.51 73.48–81.54 72.19–82.83 | 80.87 76.55–85.20 75.24–86.50 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 13.52 10.68–16.36 9.93–17.11 | 12.20 9.25–15.14 8.51–15.89 | 25.72 19.94–31.50 18.43–33.01 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.57 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.95 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.88–3.51 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.37 2.19–6.55 1.64–7.11 | 41% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.76–4.64 1.38–5.02 | 2.87 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.85 | 6.07 3.07–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 47% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

