Süper Lig·Regular Season - 34·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.172.84safe0.70–2.640.32–2.031.02–4.66safer0.45–2.890.09–2.260.54–5.14
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.949.13safe3.33–7.052.20–5.685.52–12.73safer2.84–7.541.73–6.154.57–13.69
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4910.6525.14safe10.56–18.417.09–14.2117.65–32.63safer9.47–19.506.13–15.1715.60–34.68
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.627.2216.83safe6.68–12.564.53–9.9011.21–22.46safer5.85–13.393.80–10.639.64–24.02
Blocked shots
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.832.666.48safe1.95–5.711.00–4.312.95–10.02safer1.40–6.250.51–4.801.91–11.05
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.019.20safe2.98–7.402.01–6.014.99–13.41safer2.40–7.981.48–6.543.88–14.52
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.4640.65safe53.67–67.2533.86–47.43safer52.00–68.9232.19–49.11
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction525345871safe458–593279–412737–1004safer440–611261–429701–1040
Pass accuracy %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction86.4280.31safe82.39–90.4575.99–84.64safer81.10–91.7474.68–85.95
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6312.3924.02safe8.79–14.479.45–15.3418.24–29.80safer8.04–15.228.70–16.0916.73–31.31
Offsides
20%
17%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.694.21safe0.36–2.681.60–3.781.95–6.46safer0.06–2.981.31–4.071.36–7.05
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.933.84safe0.85–2.950.81–3.061.66–6.01safer0.59–3.220.51–3.351.10–6.57
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.415.91safe1.06–3.931.85–4.972.92–8.90safer0.67–4.321.43–5.392.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.19 3.33–7.05 2.84–7.54 | 3.94 2.20–5.68 1.73–6.15 | 9.13 5.52–12.73 4.57–13.69 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.49 10.56–18.41 9.47–19.50 | 10.65 7.09–14.21 6.13–15.17 | 25.14 17.65–32.63 15.60–34.68 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.62 6.68–12.56 5.85–13.39 | 7.22 4.53–9.90 3.80–10.63 | 16.83 11.21–22.46 9.64–24.02 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.95–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 2.66 1.00–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 6.48 2.95–10.02 1.91–11.05 | 60% 15% 25% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.98–7.40 2.40–7.98 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.48–6.54 | 9.20 4.99–13.41 3.88–14.52 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 60.46 53.67–67.25 52.00–68.92 | 40.65 33.86–47.43 32.19–49.11 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 525 458–593 440–611 | 345 279–412 261–429 | 871 737–1004 701–1040 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.42 82.39–90.45 81.10–91.74 | 80.31 75.99–84.64 74.68–85.95 | — | 77% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.63 8.79–14.47 8.04–15.22 | 12.39 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.09 | 24.02 18.24–29.80 16.73–31.31 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.69 1.60–3.78 1.31–4.07 | 4.21 1.95–6.46 1.36–7.05 | 20% 17% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 1.93 0.81–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.84 1.66–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.41 1.85–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+