Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.521.003.52safe1.55–3.490.14–1.851.70–5.34safer1.30–3.740.00–2.081.22–5.82
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.263.6410.90safe5.39–9.121.90–5.397.29–14.50safer4.90–9.611.43–5.856.34–15.46
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.909.9229.82safe15.98–23.836.36–13.4822.34–37.31safer14.89–24.925.40–14.4420.29–39.36
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction13.346.0019.34safe10.40–16.283.32–8.6813.71–24.96safer9.57–17.112.58–9.4212.15–26.53
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.502.427.93safe3.62–7.390.77–4.084.39–11.46safer3.08–7.930.28–4.573.36–12.50
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction8.033.4511.48safe5.82–10.251.45–5.457.27–15.70safer5.25–10.820.92–5.986.16–16.80
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.7030.38safe62.91–76.4923.59–37.16safer61.24–78.1621.92–38.83
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction579244823safe511–646178–311689–957safer493–664160–328654–992
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction83.5266.73safe79.50–87.5562.40–71.05safer78.20–88.8561.09–72.36
Fouls
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1514.2524.40safe7.31–12.9911.31–17.2018.62–30.18safer6.56–13.7410.56–17.9417.11–31.69
Offsides
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.943.79safe0.70–3.020.84–3.031.54–6.05safer0.40–3.320.56–3.320.95–6.64
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.343.84safe0.46–2.561.21–3.471.67–6.02safer0.19–2.820.92–3.761.11–6.58
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.154.696.84safe0.72–3.593.13–6.243.85–9.83safer0.33–3.982.71–6.673.04–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.52 1.55–3.49 1.30–3.74 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 3.52 1.70–5.34 1.22–5.82 | 70% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.26 5.39–9.12 4.90–9.61 | 3.64 1.90–5.39 1.43–5.85 | 10.90 7.29–14.50 6.34–15.46 | 83% |
| Total shots | 19.90 15.98–23.83 14.89–24.92 | 9.92 6.36–13.48 5.40–14.44 | 29.82 22.34–37.31 20.29–39.36 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 13.34 10.40–16.28 9.57–17.11 | 6.00 3.32–8.68 2.58–9.42 | 19.34 13.71–24.96 12.15–26.53 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.50 3.62–7.39 3.08–7.93 | 2.42 0.77–4.08 0.28–4.57 | 7.93 4.39–11.46 3.36–12.50 | 82% |
| Corners | 8.03 5.82–10.25 5.25–10.82 | 3.45 1.45–5.45 0.92–5.98 | 11.48 7.27–15.70 6.16–16.80 | 89% |
| Possession % | 69.70 62.91–76.49 61.24–78.16 | 30.38 23.59–37.16 21.92–38.83 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 579 511–646 493–664 | 244 178–311 160–328 | 823 689–957 654–992 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.52 79.50–87.55 78.20–88.85 | 66.73 62.40–71.05 61.09–72.36 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 10.15 7.31–12.99 6.56–13.74 | 14.25 11.31–17.20 10.56–17.94 | 24.40 18.62–30.18 17.11–31.69 | 17% 77% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.94 0.84–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 3.79 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 3.84 1.67–6.02 1.11–6.58 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.72–3.59 0.33–3.98 | 4.69 3.13–6.24 2.71–6.67 | 6.84 3.85–9.83 3.04–10.64 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+