Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.680.743.42safe1.71–3.650.00–1.591.59–5.24safer1.46–3.900.00–1.821.12–5.72
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.512.5310.04safe5.65–9.370.79–4.276.44–13.65safer5.16–9.860.32–4.745.48–14.60
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.417.8729.29safe17.49–25.344.31–11.4421.80–36.77safer16.40–26.433.35–12.4019.75–38.83
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.054.5218.57safe11.11–17.001.84–7.2012.95–24.19safer10.28–17.821.10–7.9411.38–25.76
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.651.957.60safe3.77–7.530.29–3.604.06–11.13safer3.22–8.070.00–4.093.02–12.17
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.412.7610.17safe5.19–9.620.76–4.765.95–14.38safer4.62–10.190.23–5.294.85–15.49
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction64.0436.64safe57.25–70.8329.85–43.42safer55.58–72.5028.18–45.09
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction555310866safe488–623244–377732–999safer470–641226–394696–1035
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction88.1177.15safe84.08–92.1472.83–81.48safer82.79–93.4371.52–82.78
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1411.7124.85safe10.30–15.988.76–14.6519.06–30.63safer9.54–16.738.02–15.4017.56–32.13
Offsides
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.253.75safe0.34–2.661.15–3.341.50–6.00safer0.04–2.960.87–3.630.91–6.59
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.013.41safe0.36–2.460.88–3.141.23–5.59safer0.09–2.720.59–3.430.68–6.15
Red cards
83%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.150.20safe0.00–0.210.00–0.340.00–0.54safer0.00–0.360.00–0.470.00–0.83
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.974.396.36safe0.53–3.402.83–5.953.37–9.35safer0.14–3.792.41–6.372.56–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.68 1.71–3.65 1.46–3.90 | 0.74 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 3.42 1.59–5.24 1.12–5.72 | 78% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.51 5.65–9.37 5.16–9.86 | 2.53 0.79–4.27 0.32–4.74 | 10.04 6.44–13.65 5.48–14.60 | 93% |
| Total shots | 21.41 17.49–25.34 16.40–26.43 | 7.87 4.31–11.44 3.35–12.40 | 29.29 21.80–36.77 19.75–38.83 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.05 11.11–17.00 10.28–17.82 | 4.52 1.84–7.20 1.10–7.94 | 18.57 12.95–24.19 11.38–25.76 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.65 3.77–7.53 3.22–8.07 | 1.95 0.29–3.60 0.00–4.09 | 7.60 4.06–11.13 3.02–12.17 | 88% |
| Corners | 7.41 5.19–9.62 4.62–10.19 | 2.76 0.76–4.76 0.23–5.29 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 91% |
| Possession % | 64.04 57.25–70.83 55.58–72.50 | 36.64 29.85–43.42 28.18–45.09 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 555 488–623 470–641 | 310 244–377 226–394 | 866 732–999 696–1035 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.11 84.08–92.14 82.79–93.43 | 77.15 72.83–81.48 71.52–82.78 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 13.14 10.30–15.98 9.54–16.73 | 11.71 8.76–14.65 8.02–15.40 | 24.85 19.06–30.63 17.56–32.13 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 2.25 1.15–3.34 0.87–3.63 | 3.75 1.50–6.00 0.91–6.59 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.72 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% 13% |
| GK saves | 1.97 0.53–3.40 0.14–3.79 | 4.39 2.83–5.95 2.41–6.37 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.56–10.16 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

