Süper Lig·Regular Season - 34·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.742.90safe0.19–2.130.88–2.591.08–4.72safer0.00–2.380.65–2.820.60–5.20
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.115.589.69safe2.25–5.973.84–7.326.09–13.30safer1.76–6.463.37–7.795.13–14.26
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6014.9428.54safe9.68–17.5211.38–18.5021.05–36.03safer8.58–18.6210.42–19.4619.00–38.08
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.949.0516.99safe5.00–10.886.37–11.7311.37–22.61safer4.17–11.715.63–12.479.80–24.18
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.304.307.61safe1.42–5.192.65–5.964.07–11.14safer0.88–5.732.16–6.453.04–12.18
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.989.59safe2.40–6.822.98–6.985.37–13.80safer1.82–7.402.45–7.514.27–14.91
Possession %
22%
75%
homeawayprediction43.4555.79safe36.66–50.2449.00–62.57safer34.99–51.9147.33–64.25
Passes
21%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction358453811safe291–425386–519677–944safer272–443369–537641–980
Pass accuracy %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction78.9485.05safe74.91–82.9680.73–89.38safer73.61–84.2679.42–90.68
Fouls
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3112.8626.17safe10.47–16.159.91–15.8020.38–31.95safer9.72–16.909.16–16.5518.88–33.45
Offsides
40%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.422.97safe0.39–2.710.33–2.520.72–5.22safer0.08–3.010.04–2.810.13–5.81
Yellow cards
45%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.743.79safe1.00–3.100.62–2.871.61–5.97safer0.73–3.360.32–3.161.06–6.53
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.100.25safe0.00–0.310.00–0.290.00–0.60safer0.00–0.460.00–0.420.00–0.88
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.716.22safe2.07–4.941.16–4.273.22–9.21safer1.68–5.330.73–4.702.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.74 0.88–2.59 0.65–2.82 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 26% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.25–5.97 1.76–6.46 | 5.58 3.84–7.32 3.37–7.79 | 9.69 6.09–13.30 5.13–14.26 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 13.60 9.68–17.52 8.58–18.62 | 14.94 11.38–18.50 10.42–19.46 | 28.54 21.05–36.03 19.00–38.08 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.94 5.00–10.88 4.17–11.71 | 9.05 6.37–11.73 5.63–12.47 | 16.99 11.37–22.61 9.80–24.18 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.30 1.42–5.19 0.88–5.73 | 4.30 2.65–5.96 2.16–6.45 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.61 2.40–6.82 1.82–7.40 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.45–7.51 | 9.59 5.37–13.80 4.27–14.91 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 43.45 36.66–50.24 34.99–51.91 | 55.79 49.00–62.57 47.33–64.25 | — | 22% 75% |
| Passes | 358 291–425 272–443 | 453 386–519 369–537 | 811 677–944 641–980 | 21% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.94 74.91–82.96 73.61–84.26 | 85.05 80.73–89.38 79.42–90.68 | — | 20% 77% |
| Fouls | 13.31 10.47–16.15 9.72–16.90 | 12.86 9.91–15.80 9.16–16.55 | 26.17 20.38–31.95 18.88–33.45 | 50% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.08–3.01 | 1.42 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.81 | 2.97 0.72–5.22 0.13–5.81 | 40% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 1.74 0.62–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 45% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.07–4.94 1.68–5.33 | 2.71 1.16–4.27 0.73–4.70 | 6.22 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+