Süper Lig·Regular Season - 34·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.142.46safe0.35–2.280.29–1.990.63–4.28safer0.10–2.540.06–2.220.15–4.76
Shots on target
56%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.533.628.14safe2.66–6.391.88–5.364.54–11.75safer2.17–6.881.41–5.833.58–12.70
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9010.9725.87safe10.98–18.837.40–14.5318.38–33.36safer9.89–19.926.44–15.4916.33–35.41
Shots in box
64%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction8.796.8115.60safe5.84–11.734.13–9.509.98–21.22safer5.01–12.563.40–10.238.41–22.79
Blocked shots
60%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.822.686.50safe1.94–5.701.03–4.332.97–10.04safer1.40–6.250.54–4.831.93–11.07
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.274.209.47safe3.06–7.492.20–6.205.26–13.68safer2.49–8.061.66–6.734.15–14.79
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction50.8649.22safe44.07–57.6542.44–56.00safer42.40–59.3240.76–57.68
Passes
58%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction433408841safe366–500341–474707–974safer348–518324–492671–1010
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction82.6481.69safe78.61–86.6777.37–86.01safer77.32–87.9676.06–87.32
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2812.3526.63safe11.45–17.129.40–15.2920.85–32.42safer10.69–17.888.66–16.0419.35–33.92
Offsides
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.562.85safe0.12–2.440.47–2.660.59–5.10safer0.00–2.750.18–2.940.00–5.69
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.054.31safe1.21–3.310.92–3.182.13–6.49safer0.94–3.570.63–3.471.57–7.04
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.402.925.33safe0.97–3.841.37–4.482.33–8.32safer0.58–4.230.94–4.901.52–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.28 0.10–2.54 | 1.14 0.29–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 2.46 0.63–4.28 0.15–4.76 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.66–6.39 2.17–6.88 | 3.62 1.88–5.36 1.41–5.83 | 8.14 4.54–11.75 3.58–12.70 | 56% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.90 10.98–18.83 9.89–19.92 | 10.97 7.40–14.53 6.44–15.49 | 25.87 18.38–33.36 16.33–35.41 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 8.79 5.84–11.73 5.01–12.56 | 6.81 4.13–9.50 3.40–10.23 | 15.60 9.98–21.22 8.41–22.79 | 64% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.40–6.25 | 2.68 1.03–4.33 0.54–4.83 | 6.50 2.97–10.04 1.93–11.07 | 60% 15% 26% |
| Corners | 5.27 3.06–7.49 2.49–8.06 | 4.20 2.20–6.20 1.66–6.73 | 9.47 5.26–13.68 4.15–14.79 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 50.86 44.07–57.65 42.40–59.32 | 49.22 42.44–56.00 40.76–57.68 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 433 366–500 348–518 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 841 707–974 671–1010 | 58% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.64 78.61–86.67 77.32–87.96 | 81.69 77.37–86.01 76.06–87.32 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 14.28 11.45–17.12 10.69–17.88 | 12.35 9.40–15.29 8.66–16.04 | 26.63 20.85–32.42 19.35–33.92 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.28 0.12–2.44 0.00–2.75 | 1.56 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.94 | 2.85 0.59–5.10 0.00–5.69 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.94–3.57 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.57–7.04 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.97–3.84 0.58–4.23 | 2.92 1.37–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 5.33 2.33–8.32 1.52–9.13 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.